私营部门活动的公正过渡工具（英）2025

JUST TRANSITION TOOLFOR PRIVATE SECTORACTIVITIESPublic Disclosure Authorized JUNE 2025 Finance, Competitiveness and InvestmentGlobal DepartmentEurope and Central Asia JUST TRANSITION TOOLFOR PRIVATE SECTORACTIVITIES JUNE 2025 Finance, Competitiveness and InvestmentGlobal DepartmentEurope and Central Asia © [2025] International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank1818 H Street NWWashington DC 20433Telephone: 202-473-1000Internet:www.worldbank.org This work is a product of the staff of The World Bank with external contributions. The findings,interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of TheWorld Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or currency of the data includedin this work and does not assume responsibility for any errors, omissions, or discrepancies in theinformation, or liability with respect to the use of or failure to use the information, methods, processes,or conclusions set forth. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on anymap in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal statusof any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. Nothing herein shall constitute or be construed or considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of theprivileges and immunities of The World Bank, all of which are specifically reserved. Rights and Permissions The material in this work is subject to copyright. Because The World Bank encourages dissemination ofits knowledge, this work may be reproduced, in whole or in part, for noncommercial purposes as longas full attribution to this work is given. Any queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to World BankPublications, The World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; fax: 202-522-2625;e-mail:pubrights@worldbank.org. TABLEOF CONTENTS Executive Summary 1. Introduction and Rationale (WHY)10 1.1 What is a Just Transition and Why is it Important?101.2 About the Tool131.3 The Importance of the Private Sector in Delivering a Just Transition16 2. Development Of a Place-Based Economic Strategy For a JustTransition (WHAT)27 2.1 Step 1: Understanding/Defining What a Just Transition Means in This Context292.2 Step 2: Understanding the Transition Process and Identifying Vulnerable Sectors322.3 Step 3: Identifying Regions of Focus For Development of a Place-Based Economic StrategyFor a Just Transition372.4 Step 4: Assessing Socio-Economic Conditions (State of Play Analysis) and BaselineImpacts of the Transition422.5 Step 5: Identifying and Prioritizing Potential Place-Based Economic Scenarios for a JustTransition552.6 Step 6: Outlining Measures for a Place-Based Economic Strategy for a Just Transition632.7 Cross Cutting: Stakeholder Mapping and Engagement72 3. Implementation of an Economic Strategy for a Just Transition (HOW)76 3.1 Governance Mechanisms773.2 Metrics and Indicators823.3 Timeline and Costs833.4 Financing Options853.5 Potential World Bank Group Support90 Annex 1. Case Studies 98 Annex 2. Guidance on the Design of Governance Structures for a JustTransition107 Annex 3. Potential Financing Instruments109 Acknowledgements This report was prepared by a team led by Pietro Calice (EECF1) and Graciela Miralles Murciego(EECF2) that was composed of Sara Nyman, Ondrej Šebáň, Dimitar Dimitrov, Daniela Olejárová,Andrew McDowell, Botagoz Ibrayeva, Diana Dyussembayeva, Eduard Nezinsky, Tomas Miklosovic,Ivan Lichner, and Kosyo Stoychev (consultants, EECF1/EECF2). The team is grateful to Carolina Sanchez-Paramo (ECAVP), Cecile Thioro Niang (EECF1), andMartha Martinez Licetti (EECF2) for their guidance. The team also gratefully acknowledgescomments and input received from Dusko Vasiljevic (ETIMT), Wolfhart Pohl (IEEXI), HenrietteKolbe (CEMIA), Gabriela Eslava Bejarano (CEMIA), Raha Shahidsaless (EMNF2), Fiona Stewart(HSPGE), Mariem Malouche (ETIMT), Antoine Coste (CEUAE), Stefan Apfalter (ETIMT), ApoorvaNarayan Shenvi (SCCOP), and Michael Stanley (IEEXI). Marcy Gessel, Cynthia Wood-Davies, PeggyCurrid, and Karina Lazorchak of Publications Professionals LLC and Sandrine Pinto (consultants,EECF1/EECF2) provided editorial and graphical support, while Martha Sofia Mora Alvarez (ECCVM)provided administrative support. This project was funded by the Climate Support Facility Whole-of-Economy Program, administeredby the World Bank, to which the team is greatly indebted. ES. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The transition to a low-carbon, climate-resilient economy is urgently neededto mitigate the profound impacts of climate change.However, this essentialtransition presents one of the greatest socioeconomic challenges of our era,particularly in terms of employment. Millions of workers in fossil fuel and carbon-intensive sectors face the risks of displacement and economic hardship