锂价值链调查：疲软状况可能延续至第三季度

Equity ResearchJune 12, 2025Laurence Alexander * | Equity Analyst(212) 284-2553 | lalexander@jefferies.comKevin Estok * | Equity Associate(212) 778-8516 | kestok@jefferies.comDaniel Rizzo * | Equity Analyst(212) 336-6284 | drizzo@jefferies.comXianrao Zhu * | Equity Associate+1 (212) 778-8742 | xzhu@jefferies.comCarol Jiang * | Equity Associate+1 (212) 284-1714 | cjiang@jefferies.com Chart 2 - Volumes, % YoY.-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%ConverterBattery ProducerSource: Jefferies Proprietary SurveyChart 4 - Order Backlog: >50% = Expanding.0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%ConverterBattery ProducerSource: Jefferies Proprietary SurveyChart 6 - New Orders, % YoY.-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%ConverterBattery ProducerSource: Jefferies Proprietary SurveyChart 8 - Expected Sales % YoY - New Orders % YoY.-8.0%-6.0%-4.0%-2.0%0.0%2.0%4.0%6.0%8.0%ConverterBattery ProducerSource: Jefferies Proprietary Survey Source: Jefferies Proprietary Survey Analyst Certification:I, Laurence Alexander, certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject security(ies) andsubject company(ies). I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or viewsexpressed in this research report.I, Kevin Estok, certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject security(ies) and subjectcompany(ies). I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressedin this research report.I, Daniel Rizzo, certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject security(ies) and subjectcompany(ies). I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressedin this research report.I, Xianrao Zhu, certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject security(ies) and subjectcompany(ies). I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressedin this research report.I, Carol Jiang, certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject security(ies) and subjectcompany(ies). I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressedin this research report.As is the case with all Jefferies employees, the analyst(s) responsible for the coverage of the financial instruments discussed in this report receives compensationbased in part on the overall performance of the firm, including investment banking income. We seek to update our research as appropriate, but various regulationsmay prevent us from doing so. Aside from certain industry reports published on a periodic basis, the large majority of reports are published at irregular intervalsas appropriate in the analyst's judgement.Investment Recommendation Record(Article 3(1)e and Article 7 of MAR)Recommendation PublishedRecommendation DistributedExplanation of Jefferies RatingsBuy - Describes securities that we expect to provide a total return (price appreciation plus yield) of 15% or more within a 12-month period.Hold - Describes securities that we expect to provide a total return (price appreciation plus yield) of plus 15% or minus 10% within a 12-month period.Underperform - Describes securities that we expect to provide a total return (price appreciation plus yield) of minus 10% or less within a 12-month period.The expected total return (price appreciation plus yield) for Buy rated securities with an average security price consistently below $10 is 20% or more within a 12-month period as these companies are typically more volatile than the overall stock market. For Hold rated securities with an average security price consistentlybelow $10, the expected total return (price appreciation plus yield) is plus or minus 20% within a 12-month period. For Underperform rated securities with anaverage security price consistently below $10, the expected total return (price appreciation plus yield) is minus 20% or less within a 12-month period.NR - The investment rating and price target have been temporarily suspended. Such suspensions are in compliance with applicable regulations and/or Jefferiespolicies.CS - Coverage Suspended. Jefferies has suspended coverage of this company.NC - Not covered. Jefferies does not cover this company.Restricted - Describes issuers where, in conjunction with Jefferies engagement in certain transactions, company policy or applicable securities regulationsprohibit certain types of communications, including investment recommendations.Monitor - Describes secur