您的浏览器禁用了JavaScript(一种计算机语言,用以实现您与网页的交互),请解除该禁用,或者联系我们。 [国盛证券]:择时雷达六面图:本周各维度变化不大,维持中性偏多 - 发现报告

择时雷达六面图:本周各维度变化不大,维持中性偏多

2025-05-24 梁思涵,刘富兵,林志朋 国盛证券 杨春
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请仔细阅读本报告末页声明作者分析师梁思涵执业证书编号:S0680522070006邮箱:liangsihan@gszq.com分析师林志朋执业证书编号:S0680518100004邮箱:linzhipeng@gszq.com分析师刘富兵执业证书编号:S0680518030007邮箱:liufubing@gszq.com相关研究1、《量化周报:市场若回档充分则再次提供买入机会》2025-04-272、《量化分析报告:择时雷达六面图:本周打分无显著变化》2025-04-263、《量化分析报告:主动权益基金2025Q1季报全方位分析》2025-04-23 P.2内容目录择时雷达六面图:本周各维度变化不大,维持中性偏多...............................................................................3一、流动性............................................................................................................................................4二、经济面............................................................................................................................................7三、估值面:衡量权益性价比..................................................................................................................9四、资金面:刻画资金流向....................................................................................................................114.1资金面指标:内资......................................................................................................................114.2资金面指标:外资......................................................................................................................12五、技术面:捕捉趋势与反转信号...........................................................................................................13六、拥挤度:捕捉情绪过度反应信号.......................................................................................................146.1衍生品信号...............................................................................................................................146.2可转债信号...............................................................................................................................15风险提示..............................................................................................................................................16图表目录图表1:当前六面图最新打分.................................................................................................................3图表2:当前四大类最新打分.................................................................................................................3图表3:当前各单指标打分.....................................................................................................................4图表4:指标:货币方向因子.................................................................................................................4图表5:指标:货币强度因子.................................................................................................................5图表6:指标:信用方向因子.................................................................................................................5图表7:指标:信用强度因子.................................................................................................................6图表8:指标:增长方向因子.................................................................................................................7图表9:指标:增长强度因子.................................................................................................................7图表10:指标:通胀方向因子...............................................................................................................8图表11:指标:通胀强度因子...............................................................................................................8图表12:指标:席勒ERP......................................................................................................................9图表13:指标:PB...............................................................................................................................9图表14:指标:AIAE...........................................................................................................................10图表15:指标:两融增量.....................................................................................................................11图表16:指标:成交额趋势..................................................................................................................11图表17:指标:中国主权CDS利差.......................................................................................................12图表18:指标:海外风险厌恶指数........................................................................................................12图表19:指标:价格趋势.....................................................................................................................13图表20:指标:新高新低数..................................................................................................................13图表21:指标:期权隐含升贴水...........................................................................................................14图表22:指标:期权隐含波动率VIX.....................................................................................................14图表23:指标:期权隐含偏度SKEW.....................................................................................................15图表24:指标:可转债定价偏离度........................................................................................................15 请仔细阅读本报告末页声明 请仔细阅读本报告末页声明择时雷达六面图:本周各维度变化不大,维持中性偏多权益市场的表现受到多维度指标因素的共