您的浏览器禁用了JavaScript(一种计算机语言,用以实现您与网页的交互),请解除该禁用,或者联系我们。[中原期货]:股指期权周报:5月合约到期 交割结算价上涨 - 发现报告

股指期权周报:5月合约到期 交割结算价上涨

2025-05-19丁文中原期货坚***
股指期权周报:5月合约到期 交割结算价上涨

——股指期权周报2025.5.19研究员:丁文联系方式:0371-68599112电子邮箱:dingw_qh@ccnew.com执业证书编号:F3066473投资咨询编号:Z0014838上交所期权策略顾问:YZ16008281 12沪深300股指期权(IO)中证1000股指期权(MO)3上证50股指期权(HO) 沪深300股指期权(IO) 数据来源:文华财经沪深300指数周K线图 数据来源:文华财经沪深300指数日K线图 沪深300指数先扬后抑,受850日均线压制,日三彩K线指标维持红色 300股指期权2505合约到期,2506合约看涨、看跌最大持仓量行权价格分别是4000和3900,期权最痛点是3850 2,000.00002,500.00003,000.00003,500.00004,000.00004,500.00002023-04-212023-05-052023-05-162023-05-252023-06-052023-06-142023-06-272023-07-062023-07-172023-07-262023-08-042023-08-152023-08-242023-09-042023-09-132023-09-222023-10-112023-10-202023-10-312023-11-092023-11-202023-11-292023-12-082023-12-192023-12-282024-01-092024-01-182024-01-292024-02-072024-02-262024-03-062024-03-152024-03-262024-04-082024-04-17沪深300当月合约基差图(当月合约—标的)基差(期货-标的)【右】沪深300收盘价【左】数据来源:Wind当月IF期货与沪深300指数基差统计IF期货当月合约期贴水标的期现基差缩小 数据来源:WindIF期货当月与近月价差统计次月合约贴水当月合约基差扩大2,000.00002,500.00003,000.00003,500.00004,000.00004,500.00002023-04-212023-05-052023-05-162023-05-252023-06-052023-06-142023-06-272023-07-062023-07-172023-07-262023-08-042023-08-152023-08-242023-09-042023-09-132023-09-222023-10-112023-10-202023-10-312023-11-092023-11-202023-11-292023-12-082023-12-192023-12-282024-01-09沪深300月间价差图(次月—当月)月间价差(次月-当月)【右】沪深300收盘价【左】 数据来源:Wind沪深300股指期货持仓量、成交量统计沪深300股指期货成交量萎缩,持仓量减少0.0000500.00001,000.00001,500.00002,000.00002,500.00003,000.00003,500.00004,000.00004,500.00002023-04-212023-05-052023-05-162023-05-252023-06-052023-06-142023-06-272023-07-062023-07-172023-07-262023-08-042023-08-152023-08-242023-09-042023-09-132023-09-222023-10-112023-10-202023-10-312023-11-092023-11-202023-11-292023-12-082023-12-192023-12-282024-01-092024-01-182024-01-292024-02-072024-02-262024-03-062024-03-152024-03-262024-04-082024-04-172024-04-262024-05-10沪深300股指期货成交持仓图 数据来源:Wind沪深300股指期权持仓量、成交量统计IO期权成交量萎缩,五月阶段持仓量创近十个月低点0.0000500.00001,000.00001,500.00002,000.00002,500.00003,000.00003,500.00004,000.00004,500.00002023-04-212023-05-052023-05-162023-05-252023-06-052023-06-142023-06-272023-07-062023-07-172023-07-262023-08-042023-08-152023-08-242023-09-042023-09-132023-09-222023-10-112023-10-202023-10-312023-11-092023-11-202023-11-292023-12-082023-12-192023-12-282024-01-092024-01-182024-01-292024-02-072024-02-262024-03-062024-03-152024-03-262024-04-082024-04-172024-04-262024-05-102024-05-21沪深300股指期权成交持仓图沪深300股指期权成交量【右】沪深300收盘价【左】沪深300股指期权持仓量【右】 期权成交量PCR下降,期权持仓量PCR先升后降 30003200340036003800400042004400460048002023-04-212023-05-052023-05-162023-05-252023-06-052023-06-142023-06-272023-07-062023-07-172023-07-262023-08-042023-08-152023-08-242023-09-042023-09-132023-09-222023-10-112023-10-202023-10-312023-11-092023-11-202023-11-292023-12-082023-12-192023-12-282024-01-092024-01-182024-01-292024-02-072024-02-262024-03-062024-03-152024-03-262024-04-082024-04-172024-04-262024-05-102024-05-212024-05-302024-06-112024-06-202024-07-012024-07-102024-07-192024-07-302024-08-082024-08-192024-08-282024-09-062024-09-192024-09-302024-10-162024-10-25沪深300股指期权最大持仓行权价图沪深300股指期权CALL最大持仓行权价沪深300股指期权PUT最大持仓行权价沪深300指数收盘价数据来源:Wind沪深300股指期权当月合约最大持仓量行权价位统计看涨、看跌期权最大持仓量行权价都上移 沪深300股指期权5月合约到期交割结算价较上月上升,行权率上升 中证1000股指期权(MO) 数据来源:文华财经中证1000指数周K线图 数据来源:文华财经中证1000指数日K线图 中证1000股指期权2505合约到期,2506合约看涨、看跌期权最大持仓量行权价格分别是6200、5400,期权最痛点6000 数据来源:策略星学院 数据来源:Wind当月IM期货与中证1000指数基差统计IM期货当月合约转为升水标的3000.003500.004000.004500.005000.005500.006000.006500.007000.002023-04-212023-05-052023-05-162023-05-252023-06-052023-06-142023-06-272023-07-062023-07-172023-07-262023-08-042023-08-152023-08-242023-09-042023-09-132023-09-222023-10-112023-10-202023-10-312023-11-092023-11-202023-11-292023-12-082023-12-192023-12-282024-01-092024-01-182024-01-292024-02-072024-02-262024-03-062024-03-152024-03-262024-04-082024-04-172024-04-26中证1000股指期货当月合约基差图(当月合约—标的) 数据来源:WindIM期货当月与近月价差统计次月合约贴水当月合约基差扩大1500.002500.003500.004500.005500.006500.007500.002023-04-212023-05-052023-05-162023-05-252023-06-052023-06-142023-06-272023-07-062023-07-172023-07-262023-08-042023-08-152023-08-242023-09-042023-09-132023-09-222023-10-112023-10-202023-10-312023-11-092023-11-202023-11-292023-12-082023-12-192023-12-282024-01-09中证1000股指期货月间价差图(次月—当月) 数据来源:Wind中证1000股指期货持仓量、成交量统计中证1000股指期货IM成交量萎缩,持仓量减少3000.003500.004000.004500.005000.005500.006000.006500.007000.007500.002023-04-212023-05-052023-05-162023-05-252023-06-052023-06-142023-06-272023-07-062023-07-172023-07-262023-08-042023-08-152023-08-242023-09-042023-09-132023-09-222023-10-112023-10-202023-10-312023-11-092023-11-202023-11-292023-12-082023-12-192023-12-282024-01-092024-01-182024-01-292024-02-072024-02-262024-03-062024-03-152024-03-262024-04-082024-04-172024-04-262024-05-102024-05-212024-05-302024-06-11中证1000股指期货成交持仓图 数据来源:Wind中证1000股指期权持仓量、成交量统计期权MO成交量放大,五月阶段持仓量创上市以来最大值2000.003000.004000.005000.006000.007000.008000.002023-04-212023-05-052023-05-162023-05-252023-06-052023-06-142023-06-272023-07-062023-07-172023-07-262023-08-042023-08-152023-08-242023-09-042023-09-132023-09-222023-10-112023-10-202023-10-312023-11-092023-11-202023-11-292023-12-082023-12-192023-12-282024-01-092024-01-182024-01-292024-0