日度报告——综合晨报 英美就关税贸易协议达成一致,通威暂无计划通过交割去库 [Table_Rank]报告日期: 2025-05-09 [Table_Analyser]陈祎萱高级分析师(有色金属)从业资格号:F3074710投资咨询号:Z0017769Tel:63325888-2722Email:yixuan.chen@orientfutures.com 宏观策略(黄金) 英美就关税贸易协议条款达成一致 金价下跌超2%,关税谈判仍然是核心扰动因素,英美达成贸易协议后市场风险偏好得到提升,市场预期后续美国会达成更多协议,推动美元指数走高,地缘冲突也没有继续升温。 宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数)) 特朗普因未降息再次怒斥鲍威尔 美国和英国达成贸易协议,成为收个和美国达成贸易协议的国家,市场风险偏好明显回升,美元指数走强。 宏观策略(国债期货) 央行开展了1586亿元7天期逆回购操作 当前单边行情机会不多,长端品种下跌和上涨的空间均有限,可关注各类套利策略。 农产品(豆粕) 扫描二维码,微信关注“东证繁微”小程序 USDA周度出口销售报告符合预期 市场关注5月12日USDA月度供需报告。国内进口大豆成本变动不大;昨日沿海油厂豆粕现货报价涨跌互现,总体而言北强南弱,下游成交仍然积极,主要为远期基差合同成交。 黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板) Mysteel五大品种库存周环比增加28.97万吨 钢价继续回落,受五一假期影响,五大品种库存均有所累积,螺纹表需大幅下滑。但结合节前水平看,需求回落幅度并没有明显扩大。钢价弱势趋势并未扭转,下方空间仍难打开。 有色金属(多晶硅) 通威:暂无计划通过多晶硅期货交割环节进行去库 多单和正套可继续持有。 目录 1、金融要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................41.1、宏观策略(黄金)............................................................................................................................................................41.2、宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))..................................................................................................................................41.3、宏观策略(美国股指期货)............................................................................................................................................51.4、宏观策略(国债期货)....................................................................................................................................................52、商品要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................62.1、农产品(豆油/菜油/棕榈油).........................................................................................................................................62.2、农产品(豆粕)................................................................................................................................................................62.3、农产品(白糖)................................................................................................................................................................62.4、农产品(玉米淀粉)........................................................................................................................................................72.5、农产品(玉米)................................................................................................................................................................82.6、黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)......................................................................................................................................82.7、黑色金属(动力煤)........................................................................................................................................................92.8、黑色金属(铁矿石)........................................................................................................................................................92.9、黑色金属(焦煤/焦炭)...................................................................................................................................................92.10、有色金属(镍)............................................................................................................................................................102.11、有色金属(铜)............................................................................................................................................................102.12、有色金属(多晶硅)....................................................................................................................................................112.13、有色金属(工业硅)....................................................................................................................................................122.14、有色金属(碳酸锂)....................................................................................................................................................122.15、有色金属(铅)............................................................................................................................................................132.16、有色金属(锌)............................................................................................................................................................142.17、能源化工(液化石油气)............................................................................................................................................142.18、能源化工(碳排放)....................................................................................................................................................152.19、能源化工(PTA)..........................................................................................................................................................152.20、能源化工(苯乙烯)......................................................................................................