中国央行黄金储备继续增加,美联储5月利率会议偏鹰 2025-05-08 宏观策略(黄金) 中国4月黄金储备增加2.18吨 金价震荡收跌高位回落,中美高层即将在瑞士见面会谈的消息短期对金价偏空,5月美联储利率会议按兵不动,鲍威尔称不急于降息,关税显著增加了失业率和通胀上行的风险。 宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数)) 鲍威尔无视特朗普降息言论干扰担忧关税政策前景 我们看到美联储5月利率会议偏向鹰派,维持利率水平不变,对于通胀继续维持明显担忧,因此美元指数短期回升。 黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板) 澳大利亚对华钢筋发起反倾销日落复审调查 钢价先扬后抑,维持震荡运行。上午发布会结束后,由于增量提振投资的政策有限,钢价随之回落。而由于基本面存在支撑,钢价下方空间难以打开,延续震荡格局。 有色金属(多晶硅) 扫描二维码,微信关注“东证繁微”小程序 关于修改《广州期货交易所期货注册品牌管理规定(试行)》 建议关注PS2506-PS2507/PS2507-PS2508正套机会。 航运指数(集装箱运价) 马士基、达飞对中国至非洲航线征收PSS 目前美线爆舱、运价提涨,或带动船司情绪回暖,当前偏弱基本面背景下,船司能否回归挺价渠道是盘面走向关键。在无明显驱动背景下,建议继续以震荡思路对待行情,观望为主。 目录 1、金融要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................41.1、宏观策略(黄金)............................................................................................................................................................41.2、宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))..................................................................................................................................41.3、宏观策略(美国股指期货)............................................................................................................................................52、商品要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................52.1、农产品(豆油/菜油/棕榈油).........................................................................................................................................52.2、农产品(豆粕)................................................................................................................................................................62.3、农产品(玉米淀粉)........................................................................................................................................................62.4、农产品(玉米)................................................................................................................................................................72.5、农产品(白糖)................................................................................................................................................................72.6、黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)......................................................................................................................................82.7、农产品(生猪)................................................................................................................................................................82.8、黑色金属(焦煤/焦炭)...................................................................................................................................................92.9、有色金属(多晶硅)........................................................................................................................................................92.10、有色金属(工业硅)....................................................................................................................................................102.11、有色金属(镍)............................................................................................................................................................102.12、有色金属(铜)............................................................................................................................................................112.13、有色金属(铅)............................................................................................................................................................122.14、有色金属(锌)............................................................................................................................................................122.15、有色金属(碳酸锂)....................................................................................................................................................132.16、能源化工(原油)........................................................................................................................................................132.17、能源化工(尿素)........................................................................................................................................................142.18、能源化工(烧碱)........................................................................................................................................................142.19、能源化工(纸浆)........................................................................................................................................................152.20、能源化工(PVC)..........................................................................................................................................................152.21、能源化工(瓶片)........................................................................................................................................................16 2.22、能源化工(纯碱)..........................................................................................