2035年的人类未来：我们如何在AI时代中改变？

Being Human in 2035How Are We Changing in the Age of AI? By Janna Anderson and Lee Rainie The Future of Being HumanHow Are We Changing? What Will Life Be Like? Experts Predict Significant Change inPeople’s Ways of Thinking, Being andDoing as They Adapt to the Age of AI Many are concerned about how our adoption of AI systems overthe next decade will affect essential traits such as empathy,social/emotional intelligence, complex thinking, ability to actindependently and sense of purpose. Some have hopes for AIs’influence on humans’ curiosity, decision-making and creativity By Janna Anderson and Lee Rainie Imagining the Digital Future CenterElon University Recommended Citation:Janna Anderson, Lee Rainie. “Expert Views on the Impact of AI on theEssence of Being Human.” Elon University’s Imagining the Digital Future Center. April 2, 2025. About Elon University’s Imagining the Digital Future Center Imagining the Digital Future is a non-partisan, public-good research initiative at Elon Universityfocused on the digital revolution's impact and what may lie ahead. The center was established (as“Imagining the Internet”) at Elon in 2000 and expanded and renamed in 2023. Its mission is to discoverand broadly share a diverse range of opinions and ideas about the potential future impact of digitalchange, informing important conversations and policy formation and helping to promote a positive futurefor humanity. The center draws on insights gathered through canvassings of thoughtful and far-sightedexperts in a wide range of fields. Those qualitative contributions are complemented by a range ofmethodologies, including public opinion polling, computational analysis and other data-driven research. How we did this This report shares results of our 51st “Future of Digital Life” report. It builds on previous efforts that werejointly conducted by Elon’s Imagining the Digital Future Center (previously known as “Imagining theInternet”) and Pew Research Center’s Internet Project. Forty-nine previous reports were generated bythat partnership between 2004 and 2023. This report centers on written responses to questions abouthow the evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) systems and humans might affect essential qualities ofbeing human. Experts’ predictions reported here came in nonscientific canvassing (based on a nonrandom sample)conducted between Dec. 27, 2024, and Feb. 1, 2025. The Imagining the Digital Future Center invited adatabase of more than 2,000 experts to respond, collecting a broad array of opinions about the potentialimpact of humans’ design and application of artificial intelligence (AI) across a variety of individual andsocietal domains. Participants represent a wide range of fields, including innovators, professionals,consultants and policy people based in various businesses, nonprofits, foundations, think tanks andgovernment, as well as academics and independent researchers and professional commentators. In all,301 experts responded to at least one aspect of the canvassing; nearly 200 of them provided writtenanswers to an open-ended question. The respondents’ remarks reflect their personal positions and are not the positions of their employers;the descriptions of their leadership roles help identify their background and the locus of their expertise. No large language models (LLMs) were used in the authors’ writing and editing of this report. LLMs were alsonot used in any of the analysis of the quantitative data or the qualitative essays. We experimented brieflywith their use, but we immediately found that there were serious flaws and inaccuracies; we did not findthem capable of doing anything as well as the humans preparing this report. Respondents were asked abouttheir use of LLMs in completing this survey. Of the 223 who responded to that question, 82% replied, “Myresponse was fully generated out of my own mind, with no LLM assistance”; 16% replied, “I used one ormore LLMs somewhat in crafting my response, but most of it was written with no LLM assist”; 2% replied, “Iused one or more LLMs to make a significant difference in enhancing my honest, personal response.” Full details on the methodology underlying this canvassing of experts can be found on Page 278. Experts Predict Significant Change in People’s Ways of Thinking,Being and Doing by 2035 as They Adapt to the Age of AI A majority of global technology experts say the likely magnitude of change in humans’ native capacitiesand behaviors as they adapt to artificial intelligence (AI) will be “deep and meaningful,” or even“dramatic” over the next decade The results are based on a canvassing of a select group of expertsbetween Dec. 27, 2024, and Feb. 1, 2025. Some 301 responded to at least one question in thecanvassing. Nearly 200 of the experts wrote full-length essay responses to a longer qualitative query:Over the nextdecade, what is likely to be the impact of AI advances on the experience of being human? How might theexpanding interactions bet