2025科技趋势报告——人工智能

INTELLIGENCE Future Today Strategy Group’s 2025 Tech Trend Report Our 2025 edition includes 1000 pages, with hundreds of trends published individually in 15 volumes and as one comprehensive report.Download all sections of Future Today Strategy Group’s 2025 Tech Trends report atwww.ftsg.com/trends. 41Posthumous AI42Privacy Risks in Behavior Biometrics43AI and Energy44Resource-Hungry AI44AI Nuclear Renaissance44Efficient AI Architectures45Efficient AI Algorithms46Energy Optimization47AI Geopolitics, Defense and Warfighting49AI Nationalism49The AI-Driven Chip War50AI Diplomacy50Tech Pivots on Defense51Autonomous Weapons Policies51Automated Target Recognitionand AI-Guided Strikes52AI-Assisted Humanitarianism in War52AI-Assisted Situational Awareness52AI as a Shield53Simulating Warfare53AI in Cyber Defense54Policy and Regulation56United States: Accelerating AI Fast57European Union: Driving Hard on AI Governance 28Chain-of-Thought Models30Small Language Models30Grounding and Context Augmentation30Overcoming the Data Shortage31Open-Source AI31Modular AI32Large Action Models32Personal Large Action Models 06Letter From the Authors08Top 5 Things You Need to Know09State of Play11Key Events • Past12Key Events • Future13Why Artificial Intelligence TrendsMatter to Your Organization14When Will Artificial Intelligence TrendsDisrupt Your Organization?16Pioneers and Power Players18Opportunities and Threats19Investments and Actions to Consider20Important Terms23Artificial Intelligence Trends 24Models, Techniques, and Research25Generative AI Modalities Expand25Fine Tuning26Automated Reinforcement Learning26Evolutionary Composition26Mixture of Experts27Autonomy-of-Experts28LLMs as Operating Systems28LLMs: Bigger and More Expensive 72The AI Training Data Market73AI Breathes life into Legacy Systems74Talent and Education75AI Brain Drain from Academia75AI Education Surge75AI’s Two Speed Economy76Agents: From Assistants to Actors76Complementary Work77AI-Assisted Education77AI Native Education78Creativity and Design79GAN-Assisted Creativity79Neural Rendering79Generating Virtual Environments80AI as a Content Medium80AI Democratizes Music Production80Automatic Ambient Noise Dubbing81AI-Assisted Invention82Industries83Pharmaceuticals83Protein Folding83AI-First Drug Development84Generative Antibody Design 84NLP Algorithms Detect Virus Mutations85Health Care85AI-Assisted Diagnosis and Clinical Decision-Making85Anomaly Detection in Medical Imaging85AI-Empowered People86Health Care-Specific LLMs86Medical Deepfakes88Science88Multistep Scientific Reasoning88AI-Driven Hypotheses88AI-Driven Experimentation89AI-Powered Analysis and Interpretation89AI to Speed Up New Materials Development90Animal Decoding91Finance91AI Assisted Asset Pricing and Management91Mitigating Fraud91Predicting Financial Risk92Customized Portfolios92Consumer-Facing Robo-Advisers93Insurance93Predicting Workplace Injuries93Improving Damage Assessment93AI Powered Fire Prevention 58China: State-Directed Strategy and Tight Oversight59Brazil: On the Path to AI Legislation60United Arab Emirates: Balancing Innovationwith Guidelines 61Emerging Capabilities62AI in Mathematics62Computer-Using Agents63AI Reasoning63AI-to-AI Communication64Detecting Emotion64Embodied Agents65Neuro-symbolic AI 67AIs Persuade Humans67Humans Persuade AI68Prediction and Prescience into our Human Lives68On-Device AI69Wearable AI69Generative User Interfaces 99Authors & Contributors102Selected Sources109About Future Today Strategy Group111Disclaimer & Using the Material in this Report AI’s bleeding edge now changes by thehour, not year. What next? AI is moving at breakneck speed, reshaping industries, workflows, and everydaylife faster than we can document. On the day we wrote this, people werestill breathlessly marveling at China’s DeepSeek, which achieved OpenAI’stop-tier performance with a fraction of the usual price tag and computingpower—challenging everything we thought we knew about what it takes tobuild advanced AI. Hours later, researchers at Stanford and the Universityof Washington debuted yet another new model, s1, which outperformed bothDeepSeek’s R1 and OpenAI’s o1 reasoning models using even fewer resources. Amy WebbChief Executive Officer Sam JordanTechnology & Computing Lead That’s the nature of AI right now: What’s bleeding-edge today might be old news…later today. Here’s what we know for certain. Last year, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman met withsovereign wealth fund managers and investors, hoping to raise up to $7 trillionfor an AI chip company. In January 2025, Stargate, a newly formed joint venturebetween OpenAI, Oracle, and SoftBank, said it would raise $500 billion forchips, AI data centers, and their massive power requirements. Not to be outdone,Microsoft, Meta, and Google have each announced plans to invest hundredsof billions of dollars in AI infrastructure. But if now anyone can replicate amultimillion dollar model with only modest resources, won’t AI models quicklybecome