AI智能总结
2024-11-15 外汇期货 鲍威尔:经济表现强劲降息不必急于一时 美联储主席鲍威尔表态经济较为强劲,不急于降息,这意味着美联储降息节奏放缓,美元短期继续走强。 股指期货 A股缩量回调主要指数跌超1% 因前期行情走势严重偏离基本面,资金炒作面临的监管形势趋严以及缺乏进一步增量资金均对A股市场造成较大压力。展望后市,我们认为当前估值水平仍高,回调尚未结束。 国债期货 2025届全国普通高校毕业生规模预计达1222万人 供给是后续市场博弈的主线。若2万亿元专项债均在年内增发,预计曲线短端熊平的概率比较高,超长端会熊陡。 农产品 扫描二维码,微信关注“东证繁微”小程序 阿根廷大豆播种全速推进 隔夜CBOT大豆大幅下挫。虽然美豆需求仍保持较好态势,但南美天气表现理想,此外市场担忧未来美国生物燃料行业政策前景,而特朗普上台后美豆出口也面临巨大不确定性。 能源化工 江浙终端开机率局部下降 终端织造负荷局部小幅下降,聚酯负荷维持高位,需求端韧性偏强,但12月负荷边际可能季节性下滑。 航运指数 美东码头谈判再次破裂 盘面维持偏弱震荡,但仍需警惕班轮密集提涨对市场情绪的提振,建议建议短期适当关注逢高布空的策略。 目录 1、金融要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................41.1、外汇期货(美元指数)....................................................................................................................................................41.2、股指期货(美股)............................................................................................................................................................41.3、股指期货(沪深300/中证500/中证1000)..................................................................................................................51.4、国债期货(5年期国债/10年期国债)..........................................................................................................................52、商品要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................62.1、农产品(豆粕)................................................................................................................................................................62.2、农产品(豆油/菜油/棕榈油).........................................................................................................................................72.3、农产品(生猪)................................................................................................................................................................72.4、黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)......................................................................................................................................72.5、农产品(玉米)................................................................................................................................................................82.6、农产品(玉米淀粉)........................................................................................................................................................82.7、黑色金属(动力煤)........................................................................................................................................................92.8、黑色金属(铁矿石)........................................................................................................................................................92.9、农产品(白糖)..............................................................................................................................................................102.10、有色金属(工业硅)....................................................................................................................................................112.11、有色金属(镍)............................................................................................................................................................112.12、有色金属(铅)............................................................................................................................................................122.13、有色金属(碳酸锂)....................................................................................................................................................132.14、有色金属(锌)............................................................................................................................................................132.15、有色金属(铜)............................................................................................................................................................142.16、能源化工(液化石油气)............................................................................................................................................152.17、能源化工(原油)........................................................................................................................................................152.18、能源化工(碳排放)....................................................................................................................................................162.19、能源化工(PX)............................................................................................................................................................162.20、能源化工(PTA)..........................................................................................................................................................16 2.21、能源化工(天然气)....................................................................................................................................................172.22、能源化工(