
证券研究报告 行业研究 2024年8月16日 本期内容提要:[Table_Summary] ➢基础化工板块市场表现回顾:本周(8月9日-8月16日),上证指数上涨0.60%至2879.43点,深证成指下跌0.52%至8349.87点,基础化工板块下跌2.31%;申万一级行业中涨幅前三分别是银行(+2.66%)、通信(+2.42%)、煤炭(+1.95%)。基础化工子板块中,塑料Ⅱ板块下跌0.66%,非金属材料Ⅱ板块下跌1.69%,橡胶板块下跌1.76%,农化制品板块下跌1.82%,化学原料板块下跌1.95%,化学制品板块下跌3%,化学纤维板块下跌3.57%。 洪英东化工行业分析师执业编号:S1500520080002联系电话:+86010-83326848邮箱:hongyingdong@cindasc.com 尹柳化工行业研究助理联系电话:+86010-83326712邮箱:yinliu@cindasc.com ➢美国继续对中国卡客车胎征收双反关税。2024年8月8日,美国国际贸易委员会投票决定继续对中国卡客车轮胎征收“双反”税。2019年2月,商务部对中国TBR轮胎征收21%至63.3%的反补贴税和9%至22.6%的反倾销税。按照规定,每5年要对该案进行一次日落审查,下一次审查将在2029年。(来自轮胎商业微信公众号) ➢重点标的:赛轮轮胎、确成股份、通用股份。 ➢风险因素:宏观经济不景气导致需求下降;行业周期下原材料成本上涨或产品价格下降;经济扩张政策不及预期 信达证券股份有限公司CINDASECURITIESCO.,LTD北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127金隅大厦B座信达证券邮编:100031 目录 本周市场行情回顾...................................................................................................................4行业基础数据..........................................................................................................................5重点行业跟踪..........................................................................................................................7行业资讯...............................................................................................................................17重点公司...............................................................................................................................19风险因素...............................................................................................................................20 表目录 图目录 图1:申万一级行业一周表现............................................................................................................4图2:申万基础化工二级子行业一周表现........................................................................................4图3:中国化工产品价格指数(CCPI)................................................................................................5图4:原油价格(美元/桶)...............................................................................................................5图5:中国天然气到岸价(美元/百万英热)...................................................................................6图6:动力煤价格(元/吨)...............................................................................................................6图7:轮胎原材料价格指数................................................................................................................7图8:我国半钢胎开工率(%).........................................................................................................8图9:我国全钢胎开工率(%).........................................................................................................8图10:中国出口集装箱运价指数(CCFI).....................................................................................8图11:波罗的海货运指数(FBX)..................................................................................................8图12:钾肥价格(元/吨).................................................................................................................9图13:尿素价格(元/吨).................................................................................................................9图14:磷矿石价格(元/吨)...........................................................................................................10图15:草甘膦及草铵膦价格(万元/吨).......................................................................................10图16:磷酸一铵价格(元/吨).......................................................................................................10图17:磷酸二铵价格(元/吨).......................................................................................................10图18:农药行业指数收盘价............................................................................................................11图19:甲醇价格(元/吨)...............................................................................................................11图20:聚乙烯价格(元/吨)...........................................................................................................12图21:聚丙烯价格(元/吨)...........................................................................................................12图22:安赛蜜价格(万元/吨).......................................................................................................13图23:三氯蔗糖价格(万元/吨)...................................................................................................13图24:维生素A价格(元/公斤)..................................................................................................13图25:维生素C、维生素E价格(元/公斤)...............................................................................13图26:制冷剂R22价格及毛利(元/吨).......................................................................................14图27:制冷剂R32价格及毛利(元/吨).......................................................................................14图28:制冷剂R125价格及毛利(元/吨).....................................................................................14图29:制冷剂R134a价格及价差(元/吨)...................................................................................14图30:萤石价格及毛利(元/吨).......................................................................