Q2 2024 Fintech & Payments Public Company Summary
Key Takeaways:
- Market Performance: Public fintech companies' stock prices slightly decreased in Q2 compared to Q1, attributed to the Federal Reserve's decision not to cut interest rates, leading to a dampened investor sentiment.
- Multiple Reratings: Multiples for fintech companies generally shrank due to broad market concerns about interest rates, upcoming elections, and geopolitical tensions. Most cohorts experienced a decrease in their median enterprise value (EV) to trailing 12-month (TTM) sales multiples.
- IPO Candidates: Stripe and Klarna showed upward trading in valuations compared to their previous rounds, while Chime's valuation increased but remained below its previous valuation.
- Performance of Recent IPOs: Companies like Rubrik, Astera Labs, and Ibotta underperformed post-IPO, while Reddit performed strongly.
- Valuation Guide: The Q2 2024 Fintech & Payments Public Comp Sheet and Valuation Guide includes forward-looking estimates for 55,000 public companies globally, with a focus on multiple cohorts.
Main Findings:
- Overall Performance: The broader market outperformed the cohort, with the S&P 500 increasing 4.1% and the Nasdaq rising 8.1%.
- Cohort Performance: The medium-growth and legacy fintech group performed the best, with a median return of 0.5%, whereas high-growth payments companies had the poorest performance with a median return of -20.8%.
- Multiple Decreases: Median EV/TTM sales multiples decreased for most cohorts, with the high-growth payments cohort experiencing the largest decline, from 3.9x to 2.8x.
- Positive Reratings: Notably, Pagaya, Alkami Technology, and Robinhood saw positive EV/TTM sales reratings.
- IPO Candidates: Stripe and Klarna, along with Chime, are anticipated to go public after 2024, with Stripe's valuation rising significantly.
Financial Insights:
- Neobanks, Brokers, and Cryptos: Recent IPOs include Coinbase, Dave, Nubank, Robinhood, SoFi, among others, showcasing various segments within the fintech industry.
- Insurtech Companies: Key players like Bright Health, Clover Health, Doma, Hippo, Lemonade, Oscar Health, and Root highlight the insurtech sector's activity.
- Proptech Companies: Better, Latch, Opendoor, Redfin, and WeWork represent the proptech sector, indicating significant growth and investment opportunities.
- Medium-Growth and Legacy Payments: Companies like Euronet Worldwide, Corpay, Global Payments, Mastercard, PayPal, PaySafe, REPAY, Shift4, Stone Co, and Visa demonstrate stability and growth in traditional payment methods.
Valuation Highlights:
- S&P 500 and Nasdaq: These benchmarks provide context for overall market performance, showing significant gains compared to fintech cohort performance.
- Recent Fintech and Payments IPOs and SPACs: Detailed valuation metrics for companies like Coinbase, Dave, Nubank, Robinhood, SoFi, among others, offer insights into current market expectations and valuations.
Summary:
This Q2 2024 Fintech & Payments Public Comp Sheet and Valuation Guide provides a comprehensive overview of the performance, valuation, and future prospects of public fintech companies, highlighting key trends, market impacts, and specific company performances. It serves as a valuable resource for investors and analysts seeking detailed financial insights and market analysis within the fintech sector.
新兴技术研究
Fi ntech & Pay mentsPubl ic Comp Sheet和Va luation Gu ide
PitchBook Data, Inc.
关键要点
Nizar Tarhuni机构研究副总裁和社论保罗·康德拉新兴技术研究主管
•性能略有回落:第二季度,上市金融科技公司的股价从第一季度的水平略有回落。投资者与上一季度相比,市场情绪有所减弱,因为美联储似乎不会在短期内降息。因此,金融科技公司,特别是高增长类别的公司,面临着实现强劲增长的压力。我们的同伙表现不及大盘,标准普尔500指数上涨4.1%,纳斯达克指数本季度上涨8.1%。在我们的队列中,中等增长和传统金融科技集团表现最好,中位数回报率为0.5%。相比之下,高增长的支付公司苦苦挣扎,回报率中位数为- 20.8%。
机构研究小组
鲁迪·杨新兴市场高级分析师技术rudy. yang @ pitchbook. com
詹姆斯·乌兰首席分析师,新兴技术james. ulan @ pitchbook. com
•多次重新评级反映出逐渐减少的乐观情绪:由于更广泛的市场对
高利率,即将到来的选举和持续的地缘政治紧张局势。我们的大多数同伙经历了负面将其企业价值中位数(EV)重新评级为过去12个月(TTM)销售倍数。EV / TTM EBITDA倍数反映similar trends. The high - growth payments horder saw the largest decline in its median EV / TTM sales multiple, dropping from3.9倍至2.8倍,主要由Wise和Flywire推动。然而,有一些亮点,EV / TTM销售评级为正,包括帕加亚(1.5倍至1.7倍)、阿尔卡米科技(8.8倍至9.6倍)和罗宾汉(6.8倍至7.3倍)。
pbinstitutionalresearch @ pitchbook. com发表于2024年7月15日
• IPO候选人向上交易:金融科技IPO仍然缺乏,关键候选人如Klarna、Stripe和Chime暗示他们的公开首次亮相将发生在2024年之后。最近IPO公司的表现也参差不齐,科技公司Rubrik,Astera Labs和Ibotta的上市价格表现不佳。另一方面,Reddit的股价表现强劲第二季度业绩。
完整的Excel数据包包括前瞻性估计可用于PitchBook客户。
然而,投资者对即将到来的IPO的胃口似乎仍然强劲。导火索的数据表明,条纹和克拉纳都是与前几轮和第一季度的二级水平相比,交易估值更高。Stripe的估值已飙升至1036亿美元,高于上次筹集的500亿美元,高于康明德第一季度的768亿美元。这给了Stripe一个大概与Adyen的25.0倍净收入倍数相比,净收入倍数为25.9倍。根据Klarna的估值已升至98亿美元根据导火索的估计,高于上次加薪的67亿美元和第一季度的92亿美元,导致年EV / TTM销售额为4.3倍与Affirm的6.5倍EV / TTM销售倍数形成对比。此外,Chime的估值从70亿美元增加到76亿美元在第一季度,尽管仍低于先前的250亿美元估值。Chime估计将以5.1倍的销售倍数进行交易相比之下,美国同行Dave和MoneyLion的EV / TTM销售倍数分别为1.3倍和2.0倍。
使用PitchBook和Morningstar的PitchBook Excel插件构建了PitchBook fintech和付款表数据。该工具允许订户将超过55, 000家上市公司的财务数据和公司信息提取到Excel中美国和世界,以及PitchBook关于400多万家私营公司的专有数据
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