The OC&C Christmas Trading Index 2014 reveals a mixed picture of the UK retail sector's performance during the holiday season. Despite an overall decline in December retail sales (-0.4%), with no significant aggregate like-for-like growth since 2011, there was notable diversity in performance across different retail segments.
Key Findings:
Online and E-commerce Growth:
- Online retail experienced growth, albeit at a lower rate compared to the previous year.
- John Lewis noted that over half of their online orders were collected in shops, indicating a blurring of the lines between online and in-store experiences.
- Black Friday had a significant impact, with record traffic and sales across various retailers, notably Superdrug and AO.com.
Strategic Adaptations:
- Retailers adapted their trading rhythms, focusing on earlier online activities to attract consumers and later leveraging click-and-collect services to convert online traffic into in-store purchases.
- This strategy aimed to alleviate the stress on traditional Christmas shopping experiences.
Sector-Specific Insights:
- Clothing and Luxury Brands: Dominated the index, with Boux Avenue leading the store index and Jaeger leading the online/direct sales.
- Specialist Retailers: Showed strong performance, with Ann Summers, Mountain Warehouse, and Ernest Jones achieving rapid like-for-like sales growth.
- Grocery Sector: Continued to struggle with discounters' expansion and price-driven market pressures, with mainstream grocers reporting negative like-for-like sales.
- Grocery Outliers: Bright spots included premium brands (Waitrose and M&S), convenience-focused retailers (Booker), and online grocers (Ocado and Waitrose).
Challenges and Opportunities:
- The impact of Black Friday on the grocery sector was evident, with its disruptive effect on sales patterns and operational challenges.
- Shoppers continued to value retailers that offer a compelling range and category expertise, despite the growing influence of online giants like Amazon.
- The performance of Dixons Carphone and Halfords was impressive given the competitive nature of their categories.
Conclusion:
The 2014 Christmas trading period showcased a complex landscape, with online retailers experiencing growth, while traditional brick-and-mortar stores faced challenges. The report underscores the need for retailers to adapt their strategies to accommodate changing consumer behaviors and preferences, particularly in response to the rise of online shopping and the impact of events like Black Friday.
OC&C圣诞节交易指数2014
包装起来
颠覆性黑色星期五
平放还是平放?
英国经济复苏可能仍在继续(工资增长最终超过通货膨胀),但从零售圣诞节交易的角度来看,进展是不平衡的。从整体上看,12月的整体零售额比去年下降了0.4%-回顾往年的表现,自2011年以来,圣诞节的整体零售额几乎没有像整体一样的增长。
这是黑色星期五真正突破公众意识的一年,为从Superdrug到AOcom的各种零售商带来了创纪录的流量。对于许多人来说,这成为一年中最繁忙的交易日-并创下了英国在线销售有史以来最大的一天的记录(根据IMRG,价值8.1亿英镑)。
服装和奢侈品牌在今年的圣诞节交易指数中占据主导地位-BouxAvenue在我们的商店指数中名列前茅,Jaeger在在线/直接排行榜中名列前茅-其他服装品牌也很好地代表了
10.在经历了一个异常温暖的秋天之后,天气终于起到了有益的作用,12月的寒流推动了冬季服装的销售。服装零售商还能够避免黑色星期五促销压力的最糟糕时期,主要是在大部分节日活动中保持良好的利润率和优质交易。
然而,破坏性影响也变得很明显-最初是通过维持送货上门服务水平的高峰带来的运营压力-然后在随后的三周内,因为很明显,黑色星期五的大部分交易量已经从12月的交易中撤出,通常是折价的。
然而,这种宏观情况掩盖了许多在线,服装零售商和专业零售商的表现差异很大,而杂货等行业则面临结构性市场压力。
专家茁壮成长
网上再次迅速增长(尽管速度低于前一年)-尽管约翰·刘易斯报告说,他们一半以上的网上订单是在商店收集的,认为这是一个单独的商店渠道变得越来越误导。零售商越来越多地针对这种不断变化的消费者行为调整其交易节奏和活动活动-将较早的活动目标对准消费者在线购买,以消除圣诞节商店的痛苦-然后将点击和收集驱动的商店访问转换为最后一分钟的店内购买者。
2015年黑色星期五的规划将需要零售商进行一些仔细的思考——在现在已经获得消费者真正吸引力的事件中,平衡刺激需求,减轻运营挑战,最大限度地减少利润率。期望看到更有控制和有针对性地使用促销和特殊购买
对于专业零售商来说,今年圣诞节也是不错的一年,ASmmers,MotaiWarehose和ErestJoes在基于商店的玩家以及TheEtertaier和AO的销售增长最快。com给在线销售留下深刻印象。考虑到这些类别的竞争性质,DixosCarphoe和Halfords的强劲表现也许同样令人印象深刻。尽管亚马逊的“机器”很有可能,但购物者仍然认为那些策划一个引人注目的范围并提供丰富的类别专业知识的人是有意义的。
-以及对竞争对手如何计划比赛的紧张猜测。
杂货仍然很难
在杂货店争夺战中
在圣诞商店里,这场斗争并不像2014年剩下的时间那样艰难。随着折扣店的不断发展和价格的下跌推动了市场的下跌,宣布圣诞节交易结果的主流杂货店都处于负面的类似领域。该行业的亮点仍然是溢价(Waitrose和M&S),便利性(Booer)和在线(Ocado和Waitrose均报告强劲增长)。虽然许多杂货店不会为看到艰难的2014年而难过,但他们并不计划2015年变得容易得多。
2014年OC&C圣诞交易指数
基于PREDOINTLYSTORE的零售商
2014年OC&C圣诞交易指数在线和直接零售商
Notes:1.2014年期间长度不同从20132.排除汽油3.No2013LfL可用
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