中国气候转型展望2023

免费获取报告 每日微信群内分享7+最新重磅报告; 每日分享当日华尔街日报、金融时报; 行研报告均为公开版,权利归原作者所有,起点财经仅分发做内部学习。 扫⼀一扫⼆二维码关注公号 回复:“研究报告”加⼊入“起点财经”微信群 China's Climate Transition: Outlook 2023 27 November 2023 Authors Lauri Myllyvirta, Qi Qin, Chengcheng Qiu, Xinyi Shen This report was published by the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA) with thesupport of the Heinrich Böll Foundationʼs (Heinrich-Böll-Stiung) global head office in Berlin,Germany. Contributors Xunpeng Shi, Muyi Yang, Shurui Wang EditorKathryn Miller, Hannah Ekberg TranslatorXiaoying You DesignerWendi WuPhoto by Li Yang on Unsplash Project coordinatorElla Soesanto, Xinyi Shen CREA gratefully acknowledges the support, feedback, and insight received from Dr. PaulKohlenberg and Jörg Haas. The views expressed in this report are those of the authors and shouldnot be attributed to any of the aforementioned. About CREA The Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA) is an independent research organisationfocused on revealing the trends, causes, and health impacts, as well as the solutions, to airpollution. CREA uses scientific data, research and evidence to support the efforts of governments,companies and campaigning organisations worldwide in their efforts to move towards cleanenergy and clean air. We believe that effective research and communication are the key tosuccessful policies, investment decisions and advocacy efforts. CREA was founded in 2019 inHelsinki, Finland and has staffin several European and Asian countries. About the Heinrich Böll Foundation The Heinrich Böll Foundation (Heinrich-Böll-Stiung) is a public funded institute in Germany forgreen visions and projects with an international network encompassing partner projects inapproximately 60 countries. The Foundation's primary task is political awareness building inGermany and abroad to promote democratic will, socio-political commitment and internationalunderstanding. It is guided by the basic political values of ecology, democracy, solidarity, andnonviolence. The Foundation currently has offices in more than 30 countries around the world. Disclaimer This publication is produced by the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (hereinaer referred to asʻCREAʼ) headquartered inFinland, in accordance with the local laws and regulations. CREA is a global research organisation focused on promoting clean energyand studying solutions to air pollution. CREA is politically independent. The designations employed and the presentation of the material on maps contained in this report donot imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities,or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. The content and expression of views and opinions expressed in this publication are based on those of the authors of the independentscientific analysis and study during the time of research, and they do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position, or representthe views or opinions, of CREA, or its members and/or funders. CREA does not guarantee the timeliness, accuracy and completeness of the information contained in this publication. This publication isONLY for the purposes of information sharing, environmental protection and public interests. Therefore, this publication should not beused as the reference of any investment or other decision-making process. CREA assumes no responsibility or liability for any errors oromissions in the content of this publication. This report is originally written in English and translated into Chinese subsequently. In case of a discrepancy, the English versionprevails. Contents Executive summary 2.1 The meteoric rise of emissions82.2 Chinaʼs emissions in an international context11 3 Pathways to carbon neutrality for China and the world15 3.1 Overview153.2 Global pathways173.2.1 Central Banks and Supervisors Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS)173.2.2 Climate Action Tracker (CAT)193.2.3 International Energy Agency (IEA)19 3.3 Pathways for China203.3.1 Institute of Climate Change and Sustainable Development (ICCSD)233.3.2 School of Environment and Natural Resources, Renmin University (SENR-RMU)233.3.3 Institute of Atmospheric Environment, China Academy of Environmental Planning(CAEP-IAE) and Electric Power Planning and Engineering Institute (EPPEI)243.3.4 North China Electric Power University (NCEPU) and Peking University (PKU)253.3.5 Energy Foundation China (EFC) and Center for Global Sustainability at the Universityof Maryland (CGS-UMD)25 4.1 Total CO2 emissions274.1.1 Trends compared to benchmarks294.1.2 Policies in place294.1.3 Data disclosure35 4.2 Non-CO2 greenhouse gases364.2.1 Policies in place364.2.2 Data disclosure38 4.3 Total energy supply and demand394.3.1 Trends compared to benchmarks394.3.2 Policies in place: Action for green and low-carbon energy transition454.3.3 Data disclosure49 4.5 Industry684.5.1 Trends compared to bench