您的浏览器禁用了JavaScript(一种计算机语言,用以实现您与网页的交互),请解除该禁用,或者联系我们。[东吴证券]:卫信康:深耕高壁垒制剂,差异化赛道领导者 - 发现报告
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卫信康:深耕高壁垒制剂,差异化赛道领导者

卫信康,6036762022-12-01陈睿彬东吴证券北***
卫信康:深耕高壁垒制剂,差异化赛道领导者

Tibet Weixinkang Medicine Co., Ltd.(603676) Equity Research·Company Research·Pharmaceutical 1 / 8 东吴证券(香港) 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 [Table_Main] Years of cultivation in high-barrier preparations make the leader of a differentiated market Buy (Initiation) Forecast & Valuation 2021A 2022E 2023E 2024E Revenue (RMB mn) 1,034 1,471 1,949 2,503 Growth (YoY %) 44% 42% 33% 28% Net profit (RMB mn) 96 199 292 401 Growth (YoY %) 64% 107% 47% 37% EPS (RMB) 0.22 0.46 0.67 0.92 P/E (X) 75.27 36.36 24.70 18.02 Key words: # the second curve Investment Thesis ◼ Main thesis: Weixinkang (WXK) Medicine focuses on high-barrier preparations with a benign competitive landscape. 12 kinds of injection multivitamins were included in 2021 National Reimbursement Drug List (NRDL), which was enforced from early 2021, leading to expansion of reimbursement scope and corresponding market. The launch and sales ramp-up of new products, including multiple Trace Element Injection and 13 kinds of pediatric multivitamin injection, ensure high visibility of growth and sustainability. ◼ Multiple Trace Element Injection (MTEI), a trace element supplement containing 10 trace elements, is designed and suitable for parenteral nutrition treatment of patients in general surgery, ICU, oncology/radiology psychiatric surgery, cardiothoracic surgery, burns department. As the only domestic product, MTEI enjoys a favorable competitive landscape, with LABORATOIRE AGUETTANT being the only available product of same generic name. In 2021, the terminal revenue of MTEI market reached RMB1.4bn (+34% yoy). The product saw a rapid sales growth in 2021/22H1, with revenue of RMB55/84mn. MTEI was approved and immediately included NRDL in 2020, and we expect it to achieve rapid sales growth by replacing MTEI(II). We forecast the sales of MTEI in 2022-2024 to reach RMB220/440/700mn (+300%/+100%/+60% yoy). ◼ 12 vitamins for injection (12v) are mainly used for clinical support of patients at the risk of vitamin deficiency during perioperative period, burns, liver disease, hospitalization for chronic diseases, etc. By the end of 2020, 12v was included in the NRDL and can be reimbursed in 10+ additional provinces. 12v was covered by nearly 1600/2000 hospitals in 2021/22H1, and the company would continue to focus on the sales of 12v and enlarge its hospital coverage. With Baxter (imported) being the only competitor, 12v enjoys a benign competitive market. We expect WXK Medicine's service revenue (mainly contributed by 12v) in 2022-2024 to reach RMB1/1.2/1.42bn (+38%/+20%/+18% yoy). ◼ Launch of new products including vitamins, electrolytes, amino acids. Multivitamin: 13 vitamins for children’s injection (Children’s 13v) are the first imitation and exclusive domestic product in China, which was approved in 2018 with no similar imported products available so far. Sales of children's 13v reached RMB30/20mn in 2021/22H1. Multivitamin for injection (13) was approved in Aug 2022. Amino acids: compound amino acid injection for children (19AA-I) and compound amino acid injection for adults (20AA) were approved in May and Oct 2022. Electrolytes: potassium magnesium aspartate injection, compound electrolyte injection (II), compound electrolyte injection (V), and mixed sugar electrolyte injection, have already been approved. ◼ Earnings Forecast & Rating: We forecast WXK Medicine’s net profit in 2022-2024 to reach RMB200/290/400mn (+107%/+47%/+37% yoy), indicating P/E of 36x/25x/18x. We initiate with a “Buy” rating. ◼ Risks: risk of core products included in centralized procurement, intensified competition, pandemic resurgence. [Table_PicQuote] Price Performance [Table_Base] Market Data Closing price (RMB) 16.59 52-week Range (RMB) 6.52/17.45 P/B (X) 5.98 Market Cap (RMB mn) 7,219.33 Basic Data data BVPS (RMB) 2.77 Liabilities/assets (%) 25.77 Total Issued Shares (mn) 435.16 Shares outstanding (mn) 429.10 [Table_Report] Related reports Soochow Securities International Brokerage Limited would like to acknowledge the contribution and support provided by Soochow Research Institute, and in particular its employee Guoguang Zhu (朱国广). [Table_Author] 1 December 2022 Research Analyst Ruibin Chen (852) 3982 3212 chenrobin@dwzq.com.hk -29%-15%-1%13%27%41%55%69%83%97%2021/11/222022/03/232022/07/222022/11/20Tibet Weixinkang MedicineCSI 300 卫信康(603676) 证券研究报告·公司深度研究·化学制药 2 / 8 东吴证券(香港) 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 [Table_Main] 卫信康:深耕高壁垒制剂,差异化赛道领导者 买入(首次) 盈利预测与估值 2021A 2022E 2023E 2024E 营业总收入(百万元) 1,034 1,471 1,949 2,503 同比 44% 42% 33% 28% 归属母公司净利润(百万元) 96 199 292 401 同比 64% 107% 47% 37% 每股收益-最新股本摊薄(元/股) 0.22 0.46 0.67 0.92 P/E(现价&最新股本摊薄) 75.27 36.36 24.70 18.02 [Table_Tag] 关键词:#第二曲线 投资要点 ◼ 投资逻辑:公司专注于高壁垒制剂,产品格局良好。注射用多种维生素(12) 进入2021年国家医保目录,2021年初执行,报销范围拓展,市场扩容。多种微量元素注射液、小儿多种维生素注射液(13)等新品上市、放量,业绩加速确定性、持续性较强。 ◼ 多种微量元素注射液(多微),为微量元素补充剂,含有10种微量元素,适用于普外科、ICU、肿瘤科/放射科、神外科、