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2021年重庆商业及物流地产市场回顾与展望

2021年重庆商业及物流地产市场回顾与展望

00202120221 1.2~292.30~503.51~714.72~80 01Urban Economic Development 33ABCDGEHF3,000A B C D E F G H I I76%69116~18°C1,000~1,4504704508.243826843,205.422173 446.1%13,96818.5%69.5%43,5028.7%GDP 27,8948.3%0%5%10%15%20%07,00014,00021,00028,00035,000GDP0%20%40%60%80%100%05,00010,00015,00020,00025,000-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%5%10%15%20%014,00028,00042,00056,00070,0000%5%10%15%20%25%03,5007,00010,50014,00014,78753.0%│42021202120212021 55│20194:⚫⚫⚫202211820212021112021-2025202520352022117 662010-2020:%336.041,7721.71<•••••3,205.422010320.801.06%200020100.94••••••/•——•••()·•2021│20202019 2,600 2,800 3,000 3,200 3,400 3,60020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020-0.500.511.522.5 - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 77376105620h8320•20213,84127•2019—2035203520356,20045257.5/11.9/358-10125-6│•20213,576.647.728.0620202.4%15.9%2.2%4•202152021——————••••202182535050•20219298393590% 88➢➢➢➢➢│ 99-21 2.87 ----│ 101011 3.39 │ 11116 1.98 │ 1212│1202025••••••••••••5 1313│2019~2021,2021202212020217.07.58.08.59.09.50.020.040.060.080.0100.02020201920210.02.04.06.08.010.0 141420211020│(1) 1515│(2)2021111220251.551520251.552,00021010020302030 1616│202110132021—20252025162020202512321.652.332,6033,00041,2972,500510111566,513.49,0007675.31,0008102.75009FDI21135105002963301117251249601333.1341141,752.12,700156.61020259,0001,0001002035 171720202025%7095%9095%80100%—80%—4%—7—2—<30—<30PQI9394PQI8587%95≥95%—≥90│2021102021-20352021-20251720202025%60.263%12.415 1818│2020132021181532021246891011127202120212021 1919│19 2020│202110202020271518.59,60020196.320191.9%6.9%6.3% 2121│20252035212025⚫66%⚫1⚫2.5%63%⚫88%95%90%2035⚫⚫⚫⚫ 222220212│——34896782021~2035 232323│23➢➢➢➢➢➢➢➢➢➢➢➢ 2424│2021102021-20352021-20252443———6———————— 2525│2021102021-20352021-2025252h1h6h6h6h1231232035 26261681,198——16.25026.6——│2021 2727│1234567891011121314——14 2828│202150020212021500961128133207252367400444453 - 300 600 900 1,200 1,500 1,800 2,100202150026,745.9500456500 2929│2020202110202129 02Grade-A Office Market 31312011-20212011-2021202114,787.19.0% - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,0002010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020210%20%40%60%80%100%2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212007001,2001,7002,2002,7003,2003,7004,2001,0006,00011,00016,00021,00026,00031,00036,000 3232202120212.9%242//20211.9%100//2.38%83.2620212.9%242//20211.9%100//2021050100150200250300350北京上海深圳广州杭州南京成都青岛武汉厦门大连天津西安长沙重庆沈阳332 247 212 179 133 127 111 107 106 95 92 91 91 88 83 71 242//100//-2.9%-1.9%// 3333202183.16//3.73%83.16191,569202131B191,569151,0782021151,078202022,254,172 202132,254,172TMT0.8129.84%0.8129.84%3.73%20213192020121.85% 3434202131B191,569标准层示意图标准层示意图标准层示意图 3535-50,000050,000100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000350,000Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q42007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020210102030405060 - 20 40 60 80 100Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021//%35 36365.175.018.0%-1,2260//%//%22.386.926.1%8,279070.990.822.4%74,968063.982.035.8%20,02474,5694.860.032.0%-54808.583.022.0%4,250038.271.424.2%19,6100365.493.093.2%3,67254,0006.383.065.0%22,05063,000 3737|TMT2021, 24%, 19%, 14%TMT, 14%2021201924%19%16%24%14%19%26%11%21%专业服务金融服务房地产和工程建筑金融服务专业服务TMT专业服务金融服务房地产和工程建筑2020 3838|房地产和工程建筑TMT金融服务解放碑江北嘴大石化江北嘴大石化解放碑34.7%49.5%9.7%专业服务解放碑江北嘴解放碑江北嘴大石化28.4%29.2%24.5%江北嘴新牌坊解放碑27.3%32.5%12.8%大石化江北嘴解放碑30.5%32.9%18.4%大石化新牌坊江北嘴新牌坊大石化解放碑杨家坪南坪大石化江北嘴解放碑新牌坊 3939|0%10%20%30%40%50%60%外资内资本地201920202021本地企业聚集地:解放碑:31.7%江北嘴:27.4%新牌坊:12.2%国内企业聚集地:江北嘴:36.1% 解放碑:27.6%大石化:17.9%外资企业聚集地:解放碑:38.4%江北嘴:32.4%大石化:21.8% 40402021TOP3江北嘴活跃度前三的行业:2021TMT3402021TMT :48.6%房地产:12.5%专业服务:11.5% 4141TMTTMT20212021TOP3三大活跃行业主要分布在41TMT:江北嘴:58.6%解放碑:17.1%大石化:16.7%专业服务:江北嘴:36.9%解放碑:34.5%大石化:24.4%生活服务:解放碑:49.4%江北嘴:27.4% 大石化:15.6%TMT 42422021202144.04%TMT422021, 22.76%, 33.20%, 44.04%新增需求 4343, 15.3%, 72.6%, 12.1%本地企业聚集地:江北嘴:53.1%解放碑:33.7% 新牌坊:6.8%国内企业聚集地:江北嘴:52.2% 照母山:19.5%大石化:19.2%外资企业聚集地:解放碑:85.5%新牌坊:13.8%资金来源企业商圈分布202170%432021 4444大面积租户的分布30030036%301-50026%501-8008%80130%300300301-500501-800801800平米以上行业分布——TMT :33.9%生活服务:16.3%其他:12.0%800平米以上区域分布——江北嘴:42.5%解放碑:24.2%大石化:16.6%800平米以上资金来源——内资企业:79.9%外资企业:10.1%本地企业:10.0%2021300300801801TMT34%13.21%3000m2以上50.94%1001-3000 m235.85%801-1000m2442021 4545中央公园照母山光电园汽博中心新牌坊•••➢➢➢••2021│ 464612公园北区公园东区公园中区中央公园73现有项目未来项目7912652118113102021│ 47472021│ 484850,0004.8%217,00020.9%120,00011.6%111,33710.7%85,0008.2%108,00010.4%2022-20252022-2025345,29633.3% - 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,0002022202320242025345,000平方米339,337平方米267,296平方米85,000平方米 4949│20223420201,10045202222025149 5050TOP 1TOP2TMTTOP3TOP4TOP5│ 03Retail Property Market 52522011-2021202120210%5%10%15%20%25%05,00010,00015,00005001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,00002,0004,0006,0008,00010,00012,00014,00016,00018,00020,000

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