华鑫证券策略鑫复盘

 A0.63%0.85%1.01%3396247今日复盘 图表：部分市场利率及汇率情况0.000%1.000%2.000%3.000%4.000%5.000%6.000%SHIBOR:隔夜FR007 -50.00-30.00-10.0010.0030.0050.0070.0090.00-80.00%-60.00%-40.00%-20.00%0.00%20.00%40.00%60.00%80.00%日均耗煤量:6大发电集团合计（万吨）同比增减-50.000.0050.00100.00150.00200.00250.00300.00-2.00%0.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%粗钢日均产量(万吨）同比增减图表：六大发电集团日均耗煤量图表：重点钢企粗钢日均产量（旬度更新）德国7月CPI终值同比升1.7%，预期升1.7%，初值升1.7%；环比升0.5%，预期升0.5%，初值升0.5%。日本工作机械工业会周二发布的数据显示，7月机床订单总额（速报值）同比减少33%，至1012.68亿日元，连续10个月下滑。资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研发部 0.00%5.00%10.00%15.00%20.00%25.00%30.00%M1同比增速M2同比增速6.00%7.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%12.00%13.00%14.00%15.00%16.00%社会融资规模存量增速各项贷款余额增速图表：新增信贷情况-10000-5000050001000015000-10000-5000050001000015000货币净投放货币投放货币回笼图表：公开市场投放周度数据（亿元）图表：货币供应量情况资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研发部 1601651701751801851901952002055007009001100130015001700190021002300南华综合指数BDI指数RJ/CRB指数（右轴）46,540.00.09%1,466.50.00%9,129.00.44%13,955.00.36%58.60.07%3,990.00.00%16,670.0-0.51%54.90.79%4,469.00.00%18,735.00.05%32.3-5.06%730.5-3.63%123,430.0-1.40%2,788.00.00%7,385.0-0.87%132,900.00.00%5,338.00.00%6,975.00.00%4,127.00.66%4,210.00.79%10,315.0-1.43%349.51.19%12,250.00.25%2,045.00.10%2,231.00.00%5,581.04.30%3,404.00.00%2019-08-061,463.20.14%1,734.0-2.25%170.4-0.61%2019-08-071,453.6-0.66%1,712.0-1.27%167.9-1.48%2019-08-081,458.70.35%1,720.00.47%170.31.45%2019-08-091,450.6-0.55%1,748.01.63%172.11.04%2019-08-121,457.50.48%1,774.01.49%170.6-0.84%2019-08-073,611.6-0.35%-9.82,743.4-0.45%-3.84,607.2-0.18%-19.2100.40.01%100.2-0.00%99.10.04%2019-08-083,639.80.78%-29.52,766.60.85%-20.34,619.60.27%-36.5100.40.01%100.20.01%99.10.02%2019-08-093,613.0-0.74%-20.52,756.2-0.38%-15.94,568.2-1.11%-32.2100.50.03%100.30.07%99.30.17%2019-08-123,664.21.42%-34.92,799.01.55%-25.84,642.21.62%-42.8100.5-0.03%100.2-0.01%99.2-0.10%2019-08-133,645.6-0.51%-20.22,781.0-0.64%-11.94,634.4-0.17%-24.0100.50.01%100.1-0.10%99.30.14%华鑫证券研究发展部策略团队 股票的投资评级说明： 投资建议 预期个股相对沪深300指数涨幅 1 推荐 >15% 2 审慎推荐 5%---15% 3 中性 (-)5%--- (+)5% 4 减持 (-)15%---(-)5% 5 回避 <(-)15% 以报告日后的6个月内，证券相对于沪深300指数的涨跌幅为标准。 行业的投资评级说明： 投资建议 预期行业相对沪深300指数涨幅 1 增持 明显强于沪深300指数 2 中性 基本与沪深300指数持平 3 减持 明显弱于沪深300指数 以报告日后的6个月内，行业相对于沪深300指数的涨跌幅为标准。 7 8