铂金钯金日常报告platinumand palladiumFutures Daily Report 摘要 有色贵金属与新能源团队 【行情复盘】 作者:高光奇从业资格证号:F03149870投资咨询证号:Z0023251联系方式:-- 贵金属外盘震荡偏强,整体较前期有所回暖,内盘铂金至530元/克左右,钯金小幅回升至365元/克,外盘铂金主力大幅回升至2137美元/盎司左右震荡(折内盘估算为525-530/克),钯金06回落至1515美元/盎司左右震荡(折内盘估算为370-375克)。 投资咨询业务资格:京证监许可【2012】75号成文时间:2026年05月13日星期三 【重要资讯】 据美国劳工统计局(BLS)周二公布,4月CPI较一年前上涨3.8%,创将近三年来最大月度同比涨幅,高于市场预期的3.7%,也明显高于3月涨幅3.3%。4月汽油、食品杂货、租金及机票价格均明显上扬,通胀升幅超过工资,实际平均时薪同比下降0.3%,为三年来首次负增长。美国4月CPI通胀超预期上行,令市场对美联储年内降息的期待进一步降温。 更多精彩内容请关注方正中期官方微信 【市场逻辑】 美伊战争正在经历复杂谈判,美联储新主席沃什施政方向有待观察,油价持续回升压制降息预期,部分央行出售黄金换取美元,ETF持仓持续回落。支撑黄金持续上涨的核心逻辑短期有所动摇,短期没有一致性预期。【交易策略】 铂金波幅巨大,盘中可考虑波段交易,短期内难有趋势性行情。铂金主力合约下方支撑区间关注460-480,上方压力区间580-600,钯金主力合约下方支撑区间关注330-350,上方压力区间480-500。 品种:标题 第一部分贵金属价格走势.......................................................................................................................1一、伦敦金/银/铂金/钯金........................................................................................................................1二、期现货价格变动情况.........................................................................................................................3第二部分美元相关指标.............................................................................................................................4一、美元与黄金.......................................................................................................................................4(一)美元与黄金....................................................................................................................................4第三部分铂金/钯金基本面情况...............................................................................................................6一、铂金进口数据概览.............................................................................................................................6二、钯金进口数据概览.............................................................................................................................8第四部分下游需求....................................................................................................................................9一、黄金ETF数据.....................................................................................................................................9二、白银ETF数据...................................................................................................................................10三、汽车产销.........................................................................................................................................11 图目录 图1:伦敦金银比....................................................................................................................................................................................1图2:伦敦金银现货价格.......................................................................................................................................................................1图3:伦敦铂金钯金现货价格..............................................................................................................................................................2图4:伦敦现货价:铂:下午:美元.......................................................................................................................................................2图5:伦敦现货白银钯金现货价格.....................................................................................................................................................2图6:中间价:美元兑人民币................................................................................................................................................................3图7:上海金交所:收盘价:铂金现货:PT9995.................................................................................................................................4图8:美元与黄金....................................................................................................................................................................................4图9:美债10年-2年................................................................................................................................................................................5图10:美国十年实际收益率VS黄金价格..........................................................................................................................................5图11:美国:美元指数...........................................................................................................................................................................5图12:铂:进口数量:当月值................................................................................................................................................................6图13:铂:进口数量:当月值................................................................................................................................................................6图14:中国:进口数量:铂:当月值:累计值:同比..........................................................................................................................7图15:铂:进口数量:南非:当月值.............................................................