procurement & supply chainoutlook 2026 Navigating the AI Revolution, Economic Shifts, and theNew Leadership Agenda Sponsored by: procurement & supply chainoutlook 2026 table of contents Executive Summary_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________3About the Contributor______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________3The New Equilibrium: A Confounding Environment________________________________________________________________________________________________4Pillar 1: The AI Revolution__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________5Pillar 2: Financial Fluency___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________6Pillar 3: The Global Footprint______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________7Pillar 4: Operational Agility________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________8The Agentic Shift: Redefining Value Beyond Scale_________________________________________________________________________________________________9About the Authors_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________10 procurement & supply chainoutlook 2026 executive summary Procurement and supply chain leaders are entering 2026 inwhat GEP calls “the unknown” – an environment where theheadline macro indicators look calmer, but volatility is morefrequent, more local, and more policy-driven. AI is arrivingon top of years of shocks, while leaders still face two board-level questions: how to stay resilient without permanentlyinflating the cost base, and how to turn AI into a measurablereturn without introducing risks they cannot clearly explain. Above all, it showed that winning teamsin 2026 compress the time from signal todecision to action, using AI as governedcapacity, not a side project. This webinar explored those questions through a macrolens and eight leadership themes, ranging from AIgovernance and culture to financial fluency, footprintstrategy, and operational agility. It highlighted the shift fromgeneric “copilots for everyone” toward domain-specificagents embedded in sourcing, contracting, supplier risk,and planning workflows, all constrained by power andinfrastructure realities. about thecontributor Joel JohnsonVice President, ConsultingGEP procurement & supply chainoutlook 2026 the new equilibrium:a confounding environment The macro story entering 2026 is deceptively calm: averagesare improving, inflation is easing, and growth is cooler butstable. Underneath those averages, however, volatility isbecoming more local, more driven by policy and tradeactions, and faster to transmit through supply chains. Labor markets remain relatively tight, but momentum isfading, and immigration constraints in markets like the U.S. arebiting just as AI reshapes the skills mix. The practical messageis not to plan for a massive headcount swing, but to plan fora skills shift while using AI to strip out repetitive work andredeploy capacity to exceptions, strategy, and governance. For procurement and supply chain leaders, that meansless emphasis on perfect forecasts and more emphasis onspeed and prepared responses. At the same time, data center expansion and electrificationmean the electricity grid and infrastructure readiness arebecoming strategic bottlenecks that must be treated asexplicit risk inputs in sourcing and resilience planning. Inflation is projected to moderate overall, but tariffs andtrade decisions can quickly reignite price pressure inspecific categories. The real cost in those situations is notjust the new price point; it is the decision lag while teamsargue over last month’s data. Leaders are therefore movingaway from annual pricing cycles toward flexible terms,clear indexation, and more frequent sourcing or re-pricingexercises in exposed categories. from the webinar “In 2026, the averages are improving, but the volatilityis getting more local, more policy driven, and morefrequent – and it hits procurement and supply chain first.”“The real question leaders are hearing from boardsis, ‘How do we stay resilient without permanentlyinflating our cost base, and how do we turn AI intomeasurable ROI without risks we can’t explain?’” Growth expectations around 3.1 percent globally maska post-stockpiling in some sectors, as demand that waspulled forward during recent disruptions now fades. Rather than trying to model every scenario, leading teamspre-agree on two or three "if-then" plays so they can movequickly when demand softens or trade frictions spike. In ac