
每 日早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:市场情绪明显好转........................................................................................................................4国债期货:资金趋松,债市走强....................................................................................................................5 农产品 蛋白粕:供应整体承压粕类震荡下行..........................................................................................................6白糖:国际糖价下跌国内糖价回调..............................................................................................................6油脂板块:油脂波动加大................................................................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:产区现货偏强,盘面高位震荡...........................................................................................8生猪:出栏整体稳定价格震荡运行..............................................................................................................9花生:花生现货稳定,花生盘面底部震荡..................................................................................................10鸡蛋:淡季消费来临蛋价有所回落..........................................................................................................11苹果:苹果走货好转价格较为坚挺............................................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:棉价下方支撑大走势震荡偏强...............................................................................................12 黑色金属 钢材:两会间钢价延续震荡..........................................................................................................................14双焦:波动较大,但趋势不明显..................................................................................................................14铁矿:地缘冲突加大,矿价震荡运行..........................................................................................................15铁合金:盈亏比降低,多单部分止盈..........................................................................................................16 有色金属 金银:市场情绪回暖但通胀隐忧仍存,金银高位震荡格局延续..............................................................17铂钯:再通胀担忧略有减弱贵金属短期震荡.............................................................................................18铜:短期震荡,关注宏观情绪变化..............................................................................................................19氧化铝:海外氧化铝价格下跌国内亦存压力............................................................................................20电解铝:地缘冲突波及卡塔尔电解铝厂......................................................................................................21铸造铝合金:随铝价上涨..............................................................................................................................22锌:止损线上移保护利润..............................................................................................................................22 铅:区间震荡..................................................................................................................................................23镍:印尼政策利多,但宏观情绪主导..........................................................................................................24不锈钢:成本支撑,跟随镍价运行..............................................................................................................25工业硅:突发电价上涨消息,盘面底部夯实..............................................................................................26多晶硅:现货成交价带动盘面价格下跌......................................................................................................26碳酸锂:风险偏好下降,资金撤离..............................................................................................................27锡:缅甸长期复产预期加快,锡价或震荡盘整..........................................................................................28 航运及碳排放 集运:马士基wk12开舱环比涨400美金,霍尔木兹海峡集装箱船遇袭................................................29干散货运价:地缘局势升级外溢至煤炭等相关行业,海外需求上涨或将继续支撑中小型船运价.......30碳排放:国内交易交易平淡欧盟碳价关注政策及能源价格..................................................................31 能源化工 原油:战况扑朔迷离,内外盘价差飙升......................................................................................................33沥青:供应预期缩减,成本支撑..................................................................................................................34燃料油:高低硫近端聚焦供应矛盾,关注地缘风险..................................................................................34LPG:供应渐紧,运费大涨............................................................................................................................35天然气:LNG继续回调,但市场风险仍旧极高..........................................................................................36PX&PTA:PX预防性降负................................................................................................................................37BZ&EB:3月苯乙烯有较多检修计划............................................................................................................38乙二醇:伊朗装置停车,中东进口货源受影响..........................................................................................38短纤:跟随成本走强.....................................................................................