2026年世界经济形势与展望

World Economic Situationand Prospects 2026 TheWorld Economic Situation and Prospects 2026is a report producedby the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs(UN DESA), in partnership with the United Nations Conference onTrade and Development (UNCTAD) and the five United Nationsregional commissions: the Economic Commission for Africa (ECA),Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE), Economic Commissionfor Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC), Economic and SocialCommission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) and Economic and SocialCommission for Western Asia (ESCWA). The United Nations WorldTourism Organization (UN Tourism) also contributed to the report. For further information, visithttps://www.un.org/en/desa or contact: ECLAC José Manuel Salazar-Xirinachs, Executive SecretaryEconomic Commission for Latin America and the CaribbeanAv. Dag Hammarskjöld, 3477. VitacuraSantiago, ChileChile+56-2-22102000secepal@cepal.org UN DESA Li Junhua, Under-Secretary-GeneralDepartment of Economic and Social AffairsRoom S-2922United NationsNew York, NY 10017USA+1-212-9635958undesa@un.org ESCAP Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana, Executive SecretaryEconomic and Social Commission for Asia and the PacificUnited Nations Building. Rajadamnern Nok AvenueBangkok 10200Thailand+66-2-2881234escap-scas@un.org UNCTAD Rebeca Grynspan, Secretary-GeneralUnited Nations Conference on Trade and DevelopmentRoom E-9042Palais de Nations, 8–141211 Geneva 10Switzerland+41-22-9175806sgo@unctad.org ESCWA Mourad Wahba, Acting Executive SecretaryEconomic and Social Commission for Western AsiaP.O. Box 11-8575.Riad el-Solh SquareBeirutLebanon+961-1-981301https://www.unescwa.org/contact ECA Claver Gatete, Executive SecretaryUnited Nations Economic Commission for AfricaMenelik II AvenueP.O. Box 3001Addis AbabaEthiopia+251-11-5511231ecainfo@uneca.org ISBN:978-92-1-154691-0PDF ISBN:978-92-1-157776-1EPub ISBN:978-92-1-154692-7Print ISSN:1995-2074Online ISSN:2411-8370 UNECE United Nations publicationSales No. E.26.II.C.1 Tatiana Molcean, Executive SecretaryUnited Nations Economic Commission for EuropePalais des NationsCH-1211 Geneva 10Switzerland+41-22-9174444unece_info@un.org Copyright @ United Nations, 2026All rights reserved Citation:United Nations (2026).World Economic Situation andProspects 2026. Foreword The 2026World Economic Situation and Prospectsreport arrives at a time of profound uncertaintyand accelerating changes in the globaleconomic order. social spending, as countries spend more oninstruments of war than on investments in peace. Yet, amid this turmoil, there are signs of hope. In 2025, the international community tookimportant steps to renew solidarity andstrengthen collective action: The world economy has shown resilience amidturbulence. Yet growth remains subdued,far below pre-pandemic levels. Inflation haseased, but prices remain high and continue torise—eroding purchasing power and straininghousehold budgets. the Sevilla Commitment set out an ambitiousagenda to scale up development finance,address the debt crisis, and reform theinternational financial architecture; Many developing economies continue to strugglewith elevated debt burdens, constrained fiscalspace and tepid growth—compounded byintensifying climate shocks. As a result, progresstowards the Sustainable Development Goalsremains distant for much of the world. the World Social Summit reaffirmed that jobs,equality and human rights are the foundationof peace and prosperity; and COP30 strengthened global climatecooperation, advancing commitments onfinance, adaptation and support for thosemost at risk. Meanwhile, a combination of economic,geopolitical and technological tensions isreshaping the global landscape, generating neweconomic uncertainty and social vulnerabilities. As we enter the final stretch towards the deadlinefor the Sustainable Development Goals, these andother pledges must translate into action to delivercoordinated solutions on trade, debt, climate andsustainable finance. Strategic rivalries are eroding multilateralismand fragmenting markets, leading to disruptionsin global trade and investment. Some vulnerableeconomies are faced with reduced access to themarkets, finance and technology they need tospur job creation and prosperity. Together, let us seize this moment with renewedpurpose and unity to navigate disruption andhelp put every country on the path to inclusive,sustainable and resilient growth. Rapid investments in artificial intelligencedemonstrate the technology’s vast potential, butare also creating fears of a financial bubble thatcould spill across the global economy. Heated competition for critical minerals ispreying on weak governance and social cohesion,driving uncertainty and division across affectedcommunities. And rising military expenditureis diverting scarce resources away from António GuterresUnited NationsSecretary-General Explanatory notes Symbols used in the tables ..Two dots indicate that data are not a