5G在非洲：实现潜力

GSMA Intelligence GSMA GSMA Intelligence is the definitive source of globalmobile operator data, analysis and forecasts, andpublisher of authoritative industry reports and research.Our data covers every operator group, network andMVNO in every country worldwide – from Afghanistanto Zimbabwe. It is the most accurate and complete setof industry metrics available, comprising tens of millionsof individual data points, updated daily. The GSMA is a global organisation unifying the mobileecosystem to discover, develop and deliver innovationfoundational to positive business environments andsocietal change. Our vision is to unlock the full powerof connectivity so that people, industry and societythrive. Representing mobile operators and organisationsacross the mobile ecosystem and adjacent industries,the GSMA delivers for its members across threebroad pillars: Connectivity for Good, Industry Servicesand Solutions, and Outreach. This activity includesadvancing policy, tackling today’s biggest societalchallenges, underpinning the technology andinteroperability that make mobile work, and providingthe world’s largest platform to convene the mobileecosystem at the MWC and M360 series of events. GSMA Intelligence is relied on by leading operators,vendors, regulators, financial institutions and third-partyindustry players, to support strategic decision-makingand long-term investment planning. The data is used asan industry reference point and is frequently cited bythe media and by the industry itself. Our team of analysts and experts produce regularthought-leading research reports across a range ofindustry topics. We invite you to find out more at www.gsma.com Follow the GSMA on Twitter: @GSMA www.gsmaintelligence.com info@gsmaintelligence.com @GSMAi Contributors Authors Kenechi Okeleke, Director, Regional, Social and PolicyResearch, GSMA Intelligence (Lead author) Angela Wamola, Head of Sub-Saharan AfricaJawad Abbassi, Head of MENAPeter Jarich, Head of GSMA IntelligenceKamal Tamawa, Policy Director, Sub-Saharan AfricaLuiz Felippe Zoghbi, Senior Spectrum Policy ManagerCaroline Mbugua HSC, Senior Policy Manager,Sub-Saharan AfricaSeyni Fati, Senior Policy Manager, Sub-Saharan AfricaAlain Betu, Policy Manager, Sub-Saharan Africa James Joiner, Senior Analyst, Network Strategy,GSMA Intelligence Emanuel Kolta, Senior Analyst, Network Innovationand Sustainability, GSMA Intelligence 25G in Africa’s connectivity landscape212.1Assessing Africa’s readiness for 5G222.2The case for 5G in Africa272.3A phased approach to 5G rollout282.45G adoption outlook302.55G economic impact32 3Building the networks of the future343.1The 5G networks ecosystem363.2Network modernisation on the front burner373.3Achieving cost-effective 5G rollout403.4Addressing the energy conundrum433.5Network rationalisation is a long-term prospect45 4Driving customer uptake484.1Consumer considerations514.2The FWA opportunity544.3Enterprise considerations564.4The private 5G network opportunity for operators61 List of figures Figure 1IMT-2020 5G requirements11Figure 2The features of 5G NR Release 16 and 1712Figure 3The mobile industry’s goals for the 5G era13Figure 4The 2020s will be characterised by the 5G era14Figure 55G mobile adoption in selected markets by 203016Figure 6Adoption of 5G versus 4G and 3G16Figure 7The availability of 5G devices is increasing17Figure 85G drives consumer interest in non-connectivity offerings19Figure 9Top benefits of 5G SA20Figure 10Overview of the BEMECS framework22Figure 114G adoption in Africa23Figure 12Price of entry-level devices as a percentage of GDP is still high in Africa24Figure 135G spectrum assignments in Africa25Figure 145G mass-market readiness and ecosystem maturity26Figure 15Stakeholders expect 5G rollout in Africa to take a phased approach29Figure 16The 5G footprint across Africa31Figure 174G will be the dominant technology in Africa for the foreseeable future,but 5G is set to gain momentum31Figure 185G could benefit the African economy by $26 billion between 2021 and 203032Figure 19Retail, manufacturing and agriculture are expected to be the sectors that willbenefit most from 5G33Figure 20Examples of 5G ecosystem players in Africa36Figure 21Network modernisation focus areas for operators38Figure 22Evolution of backhaul mix between 2022 and 203039Figure 23Network rollout and operations solutions41Figure 24Anticipated timeline for shutdown of legacy networks46Figure 25Main factors impacting consumer 5G uptake50Figure 26The large amount of spectrum provides capacity to support new use cases55Figure 27Key categories of players for enterprise 5G56Figure 28Main factors impacting consumer 5G uptake57Figure 29Key categories of players for enterprise 5G59Figure 30Private networks sit on a scale of customisation, control and cost62Figure 31Operators are best placed to drive the private 5G market in Africa63Figure 325G policy considerations66Figure A1The GSMA BEMECS framework indicators78Figure A24G adoption in