2025年非洲5G：市场现状、趋势和前景

The GSMA is a global organisation unifying the mobileecosystem to discover, develop and deliver innovationfoundational to positive business environments and societalchange. Our vision is to unlock the full power of connectivityso that people, industry and society thrive. Representingmobile operators and organisations across the mobileecosystem and adjacent industries, the GSMA delivers for GSMA Intelligence is the definitive source of global mobileoperator data, analysis and forecasts, and publisher ofauthoritative industry reports and research. Our data coversevery operator group, network and MVNO in every countryworldwide – from Afghanistan to Zimbabwe. It is the most GSMA Intelligence is relied on by leading operators,vendors, regulators, financial institutions and third-partyindustry players, to support strategic decision-makingand long-term investment planning. The data is used as We invite you to find out more atgsma.com Our team of analysts and experts produce regular thought-leading research reports across a range of industry topics. gsmaintelligence.com info@gsmaintelligence.com Published October 2025 Authors James Joiner,Lead AnalystKenechi Okeleke,Senior DirectorShroug Ganawa,Senior Analyst Contents Executive summary 15G state of play globally5G adoption accelerates but monetisation remains a challenge 25G state of play in Africa5G market update 35G monetisation in Africa 5G FWAConsumer 5GEnterprise 5G 4Country deep dives Botswana19Ethiopia20Senegal21 5Policy imperatives for a 5G future Technology-neutral spectrum licensing23RoW regulations23Affordable 5G devices24Transition to renewable energy24Network competition25 Executive 5G momentum continues to build in Africa. As of September 2025, 53 operatorsin 29 markets across the region had launched commercial 5G mobile services.More markets are expected to follow soon, with operators in an additional 14 Although the number of commercial 5G services isgrowing quickly, it is still early days for 5G adoptionin Africa. There will be around 54 million 5G mobileconnections in the region at the end of 2025,accounting for 3.8% of total connections. 5G adoptionwill gather pace in the second half of the 2020s with 5G monetisation will become a growing focus foroperators as the number of 5G connections increases.5G fixed wireless access (FWA) has emerged as oneof the biggest opportunities to generate new revenuesfrom 5G investment in the near term. To date, 25African operators have launched 5G FWA commercialservices, with the majority of these offering FWA 5G also presents an opportunity for operators toinitiate new monetisation levers in the consumermobile space. The introduction of speed-based pricing,more advanced segmentation strategies and new with new opportunities emerging in private wireless To capitalise on the promise of 5G, operators requireenabling policy environments. In this report, wehighlight five key policy imperatives to drive the Technology-neutral spectrumlicensing Affordable 5G devices Aligning tax policies with governments’ digitaltransformation objectives can make devices more As new 5G spectrum has yet to be assigned in manymarkets, spectrum refarming in certain legacy bands is Transition to renewable energy Right-of-way (RoW) regulations There is a need for policy levers, including fiscalincentives, to accelerate the transition to alternative RoW rules to support faster 5G rollout include thesimplification of RoW application procedures and the Network competition Network competition, along with voluntary passiveand active network sharing, has been shown to drive 5G state of playglobally 5G adoption accelerates but monetisation remains a challenge 5G commercialisation continues to gather pace around the world. As ofSeptember 2025, 350 operators in 138 markets globally had launchedcommercial 5G mobile services. The number of 5G connections is expected to Momentum globally has accelerated in recent years,with around half of total network sunsets having beencompleted in the last three years. In Sub-Saharan The number of connections on legacy networks (2Gand 3G) will continue to decline in the coming years asusers migrate to 4G and 5G, leading to an increasingnumber of network sunsets. Between 2010 and June Figure 1 Global mobile adoption by technology Percentage of total connections 5G’s advanced radio capabilities and the additionalcapacity provided by new spectrum have beenimportant in accommodating growing levels ofmobile data traffic in the 5G era. In 2024, the averageglobal monthly mobile data usage per connection The rate of mobile data traffic growth is expected tomoderate over the next few years, as new applicationssuch as AR/VR and the metaverse have yet to reachthe mainstream. However, total mobile data traffic is Figure 2 The growth in mobile data traffic has not beenmatched with a surge on the revenue side of theequation. For much of the past decade, global mobilerevenue growth ha