鲍威尔暗示再次降息,央行开展了910亿元7天期逆回购操 2025-10-15 宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数)) 鲍威尔暗示再次降息 鲍威尔最新的表态美联储需要再次降息并停止缩表,这意味着货币政策宽松趋势不会改变,美元指数走弱。 宏观策略(股指期货) 国务院总理召开经济形势专家座谈会 10月14日股市再度收跌,且市场明显放量。关税战的不确定性存在滞后和长尾效应,从近期美国表态看,后续会将有更多谈判,静待局势变化。 宏观策略(国债期货) 央行开展了910亿元7天期逆回购操作 中美贸易关系应当是债市的一个增量利多,若能够确认权益市场高位盘整,那么债市将会迎来小幅上涨的行情。 黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板) 扫描二维码,微信关注“东证繁微”小程序 10月上旬重点钢企粗钢日产203.2万吨 钢价延续弱势,铁矿价格出现走弱也带来成本端下移的风险。成材库存压力仍存,高铁水下,国庆假期后去库高度依赖需求的回归,依然建议谨慎对待钢价。 有色金属(碳酸锂) 9月我国动力和其他电池合计产量同比增长35.4% 短期或是强现实&弱预期的组合,锂价短期窄幅震荡,相对更建议关注逢高沽空机会。 能源化工(原油) IEA月报略下调全球需求增长预测 油价下跌,过剩担忧打压油价。 目录 1、金融要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................41.1、宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))..................................................................................................................................41.2、宏观策略(股指期货)....................................................................................................................................................41.3、宏观策略(美国股指期货)............................................................................................................................................51.4、宏观策略(国债期货)....................................................................................................................................................52、商品要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................62.1、黑色金属(焦煤/焦炭)...................................................................................................................................................62.2、农产品(豆粕)................................................................................................................................................................62.3、农产品(棉花)................................................................................................................................................................72.4、农产品(豆油/菜油/棕榈油).........................................................................................................................................82.5、黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)......................................................................................................................................82.6、农产品(红枣)................................................................................................................................................................92.7、农产品(玉米淀粉)........................................................................................................................................................92.8、黑色金属(动力煤)........................................................................................................................................................92.9、黑色金属(铁矿石)......................................................................................................................................................102.10、农产品(玉米)............................................................................................................................................................102.11、有色金属(多晶硅)....................................................................................................................................................112.12、有色金属(工业硅)....................................................................................................................................................122.13、有色金属(铅)............................................................................................................................................................122.14、有色金属(锌)............................................................................................................................................................122.15、有色金属(碳酸锂)....................................................................................................................................................132.16、有色金属(镍)............................................................................................................................................................132.17、能源化工(原油)........................................................................................................................................................142.18、能源化工(碳排放)....................................................................................................................................................142.19、能源化工(烧碱)........................................................................................................................................................142.20、能源化工(PVC)..........................................................................................................................................................15 2.21、能源化工(瓶片)..................................................................................................................................