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中国经济放缓及其对贸易伙伴的影响

2025-07-15全美亚洲研究所L***
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中国经济放缓及其对贸易伙伴的影响

AND ITS IMPACT ONTRADING PARTNERS NBR Board of Directors John V. Rindlaub(Chair)Regional President (ret.)Wells Fargo Asia Pacific Quentin W. Kuhrau(Treasurer)Chief Executive OfficerUnico Properties LLC Tom RobertsonCorporate Vice President andDeputy General CounselMicrosoft Ahn Ho-youngFormer Ambassador (South Korea) Melody MeyerPresidentMelody Meyer Energy LLC Richard J. EllingsPresident Emeritus and CounselorNBR (ret.) Huan NguyenRear Admiral (ret.), U.S. Navy;Senior Advisor to Naval SeaSystems Command Michael WillsPresidentNBR Jonathan W. GreenertAdmiral, U.S. Navy (ret.) Long NguyenChairman, President, and CEOPragmatics, Inc. Charles HooperSenior CounselorThe Cohen Group George F. Russell Jr.Chairman EmeritusRussell Investments NBR Chairs and Counselors Richard J. EllingsNBR (ret.)Thomas B. FargoAdmiral, U.S. Navy (ret.)Aaron L. FriedbergPrinceton University Charlene BarshefskyU.S. Trade Representative (ret.)Charles W. Boustany Jr.U.S. House of Representatives (ret.)Norman D. DicksU.S. House of Representatives (ret.) Roy KamphausenNBR (Special Advisor)Ashley J. TellisCarnegie Endowment forInternational Peace NBR Board of Advisors Rajeswari RajagopalanAustralian Strategic Policy InstituteEvans RevereDepartment of State (ret.)Clarine Nardi RiddleKasowitz Benson Torres LLPRyo SahashiUniversity of TokyoUlrike SchaedeUniversity of California San DiegoRobert ScherBP (ret.); Department of Defense (ret.)David ShambaughGeorge Washington UniversityBenjamin ShobertOptumMike StudemanRear Admiral, U.S. Navy (ret.)Travis SullivanBoeing CompanyAlison SzalwinskiThe Asia GroupTravis TannerGreenpoint GroupArzan TaraporeStanford UniversityJessica TeetsMiddlebury CollegeDebra WaggonerCorning (ret.)Dana WhiteJuno Collective Mark JonesKingswood Capital Solutions Amit KapoorIndia Council on Competitiveness Dennis C. BlairAdmiral, U.S. Navy (ret.) Tariq KarimFormer Ambassador (Bangladesh);Independent University Ketty ChenTaiwan Foundation for Democracy Heino KlinckU.S. Army/Department of Defense (ret.) Chun In-BumLt. General, ROK Army (ret.) David LamptonJohns Hopkins University Josh CorlessConocoPhillips Stephen LanzaLt. General, U.S. Army (ret.) Linda DistlerathPhRMA (ret.) Nicholas LardyPeterson Institute for InternationalEconomics Nelson DongDorsey & Whitney LLP (ret.) Nicholas EberstadtAmerican Enterprise Institute William McCahillDepartment of State (ret.) Karl EikenberryFormer Ambassador (U.S.);Lt. General, U.S. Army (ret.) Dewardric L. McNealLongview Global Bates GillNBR Meredith MillerNBR Stephen HansonCollege of William and Mary Tami OverbyAlbright Stonebridge Group Harry HardingUniversity of Virginia (ret.) John S. ParkHarvard Kennedy School Mikkal HerbergUniversity of California San Diego Pamela PassmanAPCO Worldwide Carla A. HillsHills & Company china’s economic slowdown and Its Impact on Trading Partners Edited byArthur R. Kroeber and Jonathon Marek the national bureauofasian research The NBR Special Report provides access to current research on special topics conducted bythe world’s leading experts in Asian affairs. The views expressed in these reports are thoseof the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of other NBR research associates orinstitutions that support NBR. The National Bureau of Asian Research helps decision-makers better understand Asia andcraft concrete, actionable policy. NBR is an independent research institution based in Seattleand Washington, D.C. We bring world-class scholarship to bear on the evolving strategicenvironment in Asia through original, policy-relevant research, and we invest in our futureby training the next generation of Asia specialists. Our research is conducted by a global network of specialists and tackles critical issuesidentified by stakeholders in anticipation of future challenges. The findings are a resultof independent scholarship and do not reflect institutional perspectives. Our rigorousstandards facilitate informed decision-making based on knowledge rather than ideology. Established in 1989, NBR is a legacy organization of Senator Henry M. Jackson, who foresawthe national need for an institution to study and inform public policy on Asia in both thepublic and private sectors. Building on Senator Jackson’s bipartisan approach, NBR engagespolicymakers looking for reliable Asia expertise through sustained interaction in high-trust,nonpartisan settings. Our experts and research have shaped congressional legislation andadministration policies, brought issues to the top of the U.S. foreign policy agenda, andattracted worldwide media attention. We mobilize expertise on Asia for a more effectiveforeign policy. NBR receives support from foundations, corporations, government (including foreigngovernments of allies and liberal democracies), and public agencies, and philanthropicindividuals. NBR reserves the right to publish findings. We do not undertake classified orproprietary research work, and we observe polici