您的浏览器禁用了JavaScript(一种计算机语言,用以实现您与网页的交互),请解除该禁用,或者联系我们。[东证期货]:新能源乘用车第36周销量报告:渗透率首次突破60% - 发现报告

新能源乘用车第36周销量报告:渗透率首次突破60%

2025-09-14东证期货邵***
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新能源乘用车第36周销量报告:渗透率首次突破60%

渗透率首次突破60% 徐瑜新能源汽车行业高级分析师从业资格号:F03107629投资咨询号:Z0022033Email:yu.xu@orientfutures.com 2025年9月11日 ★周度乘用车市场概述 2025年第36周(9月1日至9月7日),乘用车单周零售36.3万辆,同比下降8.5%,今年以来零售1,472.8万辆,同比增长6.0%。新能源乘用车单周零售22.0万辆,同比下降0.5%,今年以来零售764.5万辆,同比增长23.4%。 上周为月末,本周销量环比呈自然下落。 去年8月以来,消费品以旧换新补贴加码,除报废更新补贴上调外,补贴范围也从报废更新升级为报废更新+置换更新,受此高基数扰动,以及今年部分补贴终止等原因,近期同比增速放缓。 新能源渗透率方面,单周渗透率达到60.6%,是该口径下首次突破60%水位线,年累计渗透率为51.9%,呈缓慢上升趋势。 ★重点新能源车企销量分析 车企层面,各车企新能源乘用车周销量如下:比亚迪5.6万辆,吉利汽车2.7万辆,上汽通用五菱1.5万辆,特斯拉(中国)1.4万辆,长安汽车1.0万辆,奇瑞汽车0.9万辆,鸿蒙智行0.9万辆。新势力车企中,零跑1.1万辆,问界0.7万辆,蔚来、小米、理想0.6万辆。 增速放缓在车企层面的数据呈现更为明显。 本周是加长款ModelYL有销量数据的第一周,特斯拉呈现较好环比增速。 新势力中,小鹏、蔚来、零跑、小米、岚图等维持较好同比增速,其中蔚来旗下新车乐道L90上市带动连续多周销量表现回暖。 ★风险提示 政策风险;新能源汽车产销不及预期;行业竞争加剧。 目录 1.乘用车市场周度概述.............................................................................................................................................................52.重点新能源车企销量分析.....................................................................................................................................................72.1比亚迪.................................................................................................................................................................................82.2吉利汽车.............................................................................................................................................................................92.3上汽通用五菱...................................................................................................................................................................102.4长安汽车...........................................................................................................................................................................112.5奇瑞汽车...........................................................................................................................................................................122.6特斯拉...............................................................................................................................................................................132.7鸿蒙智行...........................................................................................................................................................................142.8造车新势力.......................................................................................................................................................................153.风险提示...............................................................................................................................................................................17 图表目录 图表1:乘用车周度零售量..........................................................................................................................................................................5图表2:乘用车零售量累计同比..................................................................................................................................................................5图表3:新能源乘用车周度零售量..............................................................................................................................................................5图表4:新能源乘用车零售量累计同比......................................................................................................................................................5图表5:新能源渗透率..................................................................................................................................................................................6图表6:年累计新能源渗透率......................................................................................................................................................................6图表7:乘用车各动力方式占比..................................................................................................................................................................6图表8:新能源乘用车各动力方式占比......................................................................................................................................................6图表9:乘用车各生产属性占比..................................................................................................................................................................7图表10:新能源乘用车各生产属性占比....................................................................................................................................................7图表11:比亚迪周度销量............................................................................................................................................................................8图表12:腾势、方程豹、仰望周度销量....................................................................................................................................................8图表13:吉利汽车周度销量........................................................................................................................................................................9图表14:吉利汽车周度销量(分品牌)...........................