世界银行集团在坦桑尼亚，201222财年：国家项目评估（英）2025

© 2025 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank1818 H Street NWWashington, DC 20433Telephone: 202-473-1000Internet: www.worldbank.org ATTRIBUTIONPlease cite the report as: World Bank. 2025.The World Bank Group in Tanzania, Fiscal Years2012–22: Country Program Evaluation. Independent Evaluation Group. World Bank. COVER PHOTOShutterstock/ Wirestock Creators EDITING AND PRODUCTIONAmanda O’Brien GRAPHIC DESIGNLuísa Ulhoa This work is a product of the staff of The World Bank with external contributions. The findings,interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views ofThe World Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governments they represent.The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The bound-aries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not implyany judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or theendorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. RIGHTS AND PERMISSIONSThe material in this work is subject to copyright. Because The World Bank encourages dissem- ination of its knowledge, this work may be reproduced, in whole or in part, for noncommercialpurposes as long as full attribution to this work is given. Any queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to WorldBank Publications, The World Bank Group, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; fax:202-522-2625; e-mail: pubrights@worldbank.org. The World BankGroup in Tanzania,Fiscal Years 2012–22Country Program EvaluationJune 16, 2025 Contents Acknowledgmentsvi Overviewvii 1.Background and Country Context����������������������������������������������������������������������������1 Introduction1Country Context2Main Development Challenges5 2.World Bank Group Strategies and Portfolio in Tanzania�����������������������������������������9The Evolution of the World Bank Group Portfolio11Adaptation in a Changing Environment23 3.Support to Private Sector Development in Tanzania���������������������������������������������28World Bank Group Support to Improve Access to Electricity for Private Firms31World Bank Group Support to Improve Access to Finance for Private Firms35World Bank Group Support to Boost Skills for Private Sector Development45 4.Support for Spatial Transformation�������������������������������������������������������������������������54World Bank Group Support to Spatial Transformation in Tanzania55 5.Main Findings and Lessons������������������������������������������������������������������������������������67 Boxes Box 2.1.Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the World Bank Program in Tanzania 14Box 3.1.Development Partners Supporting the Education Sector in Tanzania47Box 4.1.Access by Population: Phase 1 of the Dar es Salaam Rapid Transit System60 Figures Figure 1.1. GDP Growth and Poverty Head Count Ratio3Figure 1.2. Public Debt, 2011–224Figure 2.1.Evolution of World Bank Group Engagement During theEvaluation Period, FY12–2212Figure 2.2.World Bank Lending Commitments and Share of Prior Actions,by Sector and Instruments, FY12–2213Figure 3.1.Factors Identified by Tanzanian Firms as ConstrainingTheir Development30Figure 3.2. Domestic Credit to Private Sector36Figure 3.3.Results Chain of World Bank Group Support to Improve Accessto Finance in Tanzania37Figure 3.4.Commercial Banks’ Nonperforming Loans–to–Total Gross LoansRatio in Tanzania and Doing Business Indicators on Getting Credit(Credit Bureau Coverage)42Figure 3.5. Account Penetration and Financial Access in Tanzania43Figure 3.6. Firms Reporting Skills as Inadequate Relative to Needs46Figure 3.7. University Admissions and Graduates in Tanzania, 2012–2250Figure 3.8.Factors Identified by Tanzanian Firms as a Major Constraint in 202352Figure 4.1. Effectiveness of the Dar es Salaam Rapid Transit System65 Tables Table 1.1.Key Social Indicators: Tanzania, Select Peer Countries, Sub-Saharan,Lower-Middle-Income, and Upper-Middle-Income Countries, FY12–226Table 2.1.World Bank Group Commitments, FY12–22 (US$, millions)11Table 2.2.Major Development Partner Commitments, 2011–2216 Table 2.3.Focus Areas, Objectives, and Independent Evaluation Group RatingsAcross the Two Strategy Periods18Table 3.1. Monthly Vodacom M-PESA Growth43Table 3.2.Challenges to Tanzania’s Skills Development System Addressedby World Bank Projects49Table 4.1.Results Chain of World Bank Support to Spatial Transformation inTanzania, FY12–2256Table 4.2.Relevance of Coverage of World Bank Support to Master Plans in Rela-tion to Population59 Appendixes Appendix A. Methodology78Appendix B. Geospatial Analysis83 Abbreviations AEPalternative education pathwayBRTBus Rapid TransitCASCountry Assistance StrategyCPECountry Program EvaluationCPFCountry Partnership FrameworkDARTDar es Salaam Rapid TransitDPOdevelopment policy operationICRRImplementation Completion and Results Report ReviewIEGI