您的浏览器禁用了JavaScript(一种计算机语言,用以实现您与网页的交互),请解除该禁用,或者联系我们。[国金证券]:交通运输产业行业周报:全国快递业务量突破1000亿件,南航开通首条第五航权货运航线 - 发现报告

交通运输产业行业周报:全国快递业务量突破1000亿件,南航开通首条第五航权货运航线

交通运输2025-07-13郑树明、王凯婕国金证券惊***
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交通运输产业行业周报:全国快递业务量突破1000亿件,南航开通首条第五航权货运航线

板块市场回顾合板块涨幅最大(+2.0%),航运板块跌幅最大(-0.8%)。行业观点业受益消费电子服务器需求改善,推荐海晨股份。比+2.2%,同比-23.7%。日收盘股息率高于中国十年期国债收益率(当前为1.6653%),板块配置比较有性价比。风险提示需求恢复不及预期风险,油价上涨风险,汇率波动风险,价格战超预期风险。 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明内容目录一、本周交运板块行情回顾........................................................................4二、行业基本面状况跟踪..........................................................................52.1航运港口................................................................................52.2航空机场................................................................................82.3铁路公路...............................................................................112.4快递物流...............................................................................13三、风险提示...................................................................................15图表目录图表1:本周各行业涨跌幅.......................................................................4图表2:本周交运子板块涨跌幅...................................................................4图表3:交运板块周涨幅排名前十公司.............................................................5图表4:交运板块周涨跌幅排名后十公司...........................................................5图表5:出口集运CCFI走势......................................................................5图表6:出口集运SCFI走势......................................................................5图表7:CCFI美东航线运价指数...................................................................6图表8:CCFI美西航线运价指数...................................................................6图表9:CCFI欧洲航线运价指数...................................................................6图表10:CCFI东南亚航线运价指数................................................................6图表11:内贸集运PDCI走势.....................................................................6图表12:PDCI东北运价指数......................................................................6图表13:PDCI华北运价指数......................................................................7图表14:PDCI华南运价指数......................................................................7图表15:原油运输BDTI走势.....................................................................7图表16:成品油运输BCTI走势...................................................................7图表17:波罗的海干散货BDI走势................................................................7图表18:好望角型BCI走势......................................................................7图表19:巴拿马型BPI走势......................................................................8图表20:超级大灵便型BSI走势..................................................................8图表21:沿海主要港口货物吞吐量................................................................8图表22:外贸货物吞吐量........................................................................8图表23:重点港口货物吞吐量....................................................................8 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明图表24:重点港口集装箱吞吐量..................................................................8图表25:中国国内民航客运量....................................................................9图表26:中国国际地区民航客运量................................................................9图表27:上市航司RPK较2019年增速.............................................................9图表28:上市航司ASK较2019年增速.............................................................9图表29:上市航司RPK较2024年增速............................................................10图表30:上市航司ASK较2024年增速............................................................10图表31:布伦特原油期货结算价.................................................................10图表32:国内航空煤油出厂价...................................................................10图表33:美元兑人民币中间价...................................................................10图表34:人民币兑美元汇率季度环比变动.........................................................10图表35:主要上市机场旅客吞吐量较2019年增速..................................................11图表36:主要上市机场飞机起降架次较2019年增速................................................11图表37:铁路旅客周转量.......................................................................12图表38:铁路货物周转量.......................................................................12图表39:公路旅客周转量.......................................................................12图表40:公路货物周转量.......................................................................12图表41:高速公路货车通行量...................................................................12图表42:全国主要公路运营主体股息率...........................................................13图表43:十年期国债收益率.....................................................................13图表44:全国规模以上快递业务量...............................................................13图表45:全国规模以上快递单票收入.............................................................13图表46:A股上市快递企业月度数据(2025.5)....................................................13图表47:每周邮政快递揽收量和投递量...........................................................14图表48:中国化工产品价格指数CCPI.............................................................14图表49:中国液体化学品内贸海运价格...........................................................15图表50:对二甲苯开工率.......................................................................15图表51:甲醇开工率.........................................