2025年6月30日看好市场表现截至2025/6/16资料来源:Wind,国新证券整理分析师:方曼乔登记编码:S1490524100001邮箱:fangmanqiao@crsec.com.cn证券研究报告 。 未经授权引用或转发须承担法律责任及一切后果,并请务必阅读文后的免责声明风险提示1、汽车消费需求不及预期;2、政策落地不及预期;3、技术推进不及预期;4、原材料价格大幅波动。 未经授权引用或转发须承担法律责任及一切后果,并请务必阅读文后的免责声明目录一、市场回顾.................................................................................................................................................................................4二、行业重点新闻.........................................................................................................................................................................6(一)第三批消费品以旧换新资金将于7月下达.............................................................................................................6(二)小米首款SUV汽车发布...........................................................................................................................................7(三)阿里云推PAI-TurboX优化自动驾驶训练...............................................................................................................7(四)中国一汽集团成立新公司含AI及机器人业务......................................................................................................7(五)特斯拉ModelY实现全球首次全自动驾驶交付.....................................................................................................8三、行业数据................................................................................................................................................................................8四、投资建议...............................................................................................................................................................................11五、风险提示...............................................................................................................................................................................11 2 未经授权引用或转发须承担法律责任及一切后果,并请务必阅读文后的免责声明图表目录图表1:申万一级行业周涨跌幅(2025/6/23-2025/6/27)........................................................................................................4图表2:本周大盘指数涨跌幅(2025/6/23-2025/6/27)............................................................................................................4图表3:2024年初至今大盘指数涨跌幅(2025/1/1-2025/6/27).............................................................................................4图表4:二级细分行业涨跌幅(2025/6/23-2025/6/27).................................................................................................................5图表5:三级细分行业涨跌幅(2025/6/23-2025/6/27)............................................................................................................5图表6:汽车行业个股涨幅前十(2025/6/23-2025/6/27)........................................................................................................5图表7:汽车行业个股跌幅前十(2025/6/23-2025/6/27)........................................................................................................5图表8:汽车行业央企涨幅前五(2025/6/23-2025/6/27)........................................................................................................6图表9:汽车行业估值水平市盈率PE(TTM)......................................................................................................................6图表10:钢铁类大宗商品价格指数............................................................................................................................................9图表11:浮法平板玻璃(4.8/5MM)价格走势........................................................................................................................9图表12:橡胶类大宗商品价格指数............................................................................................................................................9图表13:锌锭(0#)市场价格走势.................................................................................................................................................9图表14:铝锭(A00)市场价格走势..............................................................................................................................................9图表15:碳酸锂市场价格走势....................................................................................................................................................9图表16:电解液市场价格走势..................................................................................................................................................10图表17:磷酸铁锂(动力型)市场价格走势..........................................................................................................................10图表18:正极材料市场价格走势..............................................................................................................................................10图表19:中国乘用车、商用车、新能源车销量情况..............................................................................................................10图表20:中国汽车销量情况(当月值)..................................................................................................................................10图表21:中国新能源车渗透率..................................................................................................................................................11图表22:人民币汇率变化