您的浏览器禁用了JavaScript(一种计算机语言,用以实现您与网页的交互),请解除该禁用,或者联系我们。[国盛证券]:量化分析报告:择时雷达六面图:信用方向转为上行趋势 - 发现报告

量化分析报告:择时雷达六面图:信用方向转为上行趋势

2025-06-14梁思涵、林志朋、刘富兵国盛证券周***
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量化分析报告:择时雷达六面图:信用方向转为上行趋势

请仔细阅读本报告末页声明 作者分析师执业证书编号:S0680522070006邮箱:liangsihan@gszq.com分析师执业证书编号:S0680518100004邮箱:linzhipeng@gszq.com分析师执业证书编号:S0680518030007邮箱:liufubing@gszq.com相关研究1、《量化周报:市场若回档充分则再次提供买入机会》2025-04-272、《量化分析报告:择时雷达六面图:本周打分无显著变化》2025-04-263、《量化分析报告:主动权益基金2025Q1季报全方位分析》2025-04-23 梁思涵林志朋刘富兵 P.2内容目录择时雷达六面图:信用方向转为上行趋势..........................................................................................................3一、流动性........................................................................................................................................................4二、经济面........................................................................................................................................................7三、估值面:衡量权益性价比............................................................................................................................9四、资金面:刻画资金流向.............................................................................................................................114.1资金面指标:内资...............................................................................................................................114.2资金面指标:外资...............................................................................................................................12五、技术面:捕捉趋势与反转信号...................................................................................................................13六、拥挤度:捕捉情绪过度反应信号...............................................................................................................146.1衍生品信号.........................................................................................................................................146.2可转债信号.........................................................................................................................................15风险提示.........................................................................................................................................................16图表目录图表1:当前六面图最新打分...........................................................................................................................3图表2:当前四大类最新打分...........................................................................................................................3图表3:当前各单指标打分..............................................................................................................................4图表4:指标:货币方向因子...........................................................................................................................4图表5:指标:货币强度因子...........................................................................................................................5图表6:指标:信用方向因子...........................................................................................................................5图表7:指标:信用强度因子...........................................................................................................................6图表8:指标:增长方向因子...........................................................................................................................7图表9:指标:增长强度因子...........................................................................................................................7图表10:指标:通胀方向因子.........................................................................................................................8图表11:指标:通胀强度因子.........................................................................................................................8图表12:指标:席勒ERP................................................................................................................................9图表13:指标:PB..........................................................................................................................................9图表14:指标:AIAE.....................................................................................................................................10图表15:指标:两融增量..............................................................................................................................11图表16:指标:成交额趋势..........................................................................................................................11图表17:指标:中国主权CDS利差...............................................................................................................12图表18:指标:海外风险厌恶指数................................................................................................................12图表19:指标:价格趋势..............................................................................................................................13图表20:指标:新高新低数..........................................................................................................................13图表21:指标:期权隐含升贴水...................................................................................................................14图表22:指标:期权隐含波动率VIX.....................................................................................