今日电话会议：库存疯狂——库存增长再次超过销售增长

Randal J. Konik * | Equity Analyst(212) 708-2719 | rkonik@jefferies.comOmar Nokta * | Equity Analyst1 (212) 778-8405 | onokta@jefferies.com Company Valuation/RisksLululemon AthleticaOur $200 price target is based on an average of ~17x FY'26E EPS and ~10x EV/EBITDA. Upside risks include LT targets prove conservative, internationaland men's performance exceeds expectations, and belt bag demand remains resilient for longer than expected.YETI Holdings, Inc.Our $53 price target is based on ~18x FY'26E EPS and ~11x FY'26E EV/EBITDA, modesty below the stock's historical average. Risks include competitionand economic weakness.Analyst Certification:I, Randal J. Konik, certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject security(ies) and subjectcompany(ies). I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressedin this research report.I, Omar Nokta, certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject security(ies) and subjectcompany(ies). I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressedin this research report.As is the case with all Jefferies employees, the analyst(s) responsible for the coverage of the financial instruments discussed in this report receives compensationbased in part on the overall performance of the firm, including investment banking income. We seek to update our research as appropriate, but various regulationsmay prevent us from doing so. Aside from certain industry reports published on a periodic basis, the large majority of reports are published at irregular intervalsas appropriate in the analyst's judgement.Investment Recommendation Record(Article 3(1)e and Article 7 of MAR)Recommendation PublishedRecommendation DistributedExplanation of Jefferies RatingsBuy - Describes securities that we expect to provide a total return (price appreciation plus yield) of 15% or more within a 12-month period.Hold - Describes securities that we expect to provide a total return (price appreciation plus yield) of plus 15% or minus 10% within a 12-month period.Underperform - Describes securities that we expect to provide a total return (price appreciation plus yield) of minus 10% or less within a 12-month period.The expected total return (price appreciation plus yield) for Buy rated securities with an average security price consistently below $10 is 20% or more within a 12-month period as these companies are typically more volatile than the overall stock market. For Hold rated securities with an average security price consistentlybelow $10, the expected total return (price appreciation plus yield) is plus or minus 20% within a 12-month period. For Underperform rated securities with anaverage security price consistently below $10, the expected total return (price appreciation plus yield) is minus 20% or less within a 12-month period.NR - The investment rating and price target have been temporarily suspended. Such suspensions are in compliance with applicable regulations and/or Jefferiespolicies.CS - Coverage Suspended. Jefferies has suspended coverage of this company.NC - Not covered. Jefferies does not cover this company.Restricted - Describes issuers where, in conjunction with Jefferies engagement in certain transactions, company policy or applicable securities regulationsprohibit certain types of communications, including investment recommendations.Monitor - Describes securities whose company fundamentals and financials are being monitored, and for which no financial projections or opinions on theinvestment merits of the company are provided.Valuation MethodologyJefferies' methodology for assigning ratings may include the following: market capitalization, maturity, growth/value, volatility and expected total return over thenext 12 months. The price targets are based on several methodologies, which may include, but are not restricted to, analyses of market risk, growth rate, revenuestream, discounted cash flow (DCF), EBITDA, EPS, cash flow (CF), free cash flow (FCF), EV/EBITDA, P/E, PE/growth, P/CF, P/FCF, premium (discount)/averagegroup EV/EBITDA, premium (discount)/average group P/E, sum of the parts, net asset value, dividend returns, and return on equity (ROE) over the next 12 months.Jefferies Franchise PicksJefferies Franchise Picks include stock selections from among the best stock ideas from our equity analysts over a 12 month period. Stock selection is based onfundamental analysis and may take into account other factors such as analyst conviction, differentiated analysis, a favorable risk/reward ratio and investmentPlease see important disclosure information on pages 2 - 7 of this report.This report is intended for Jefferies clients only. Unauthorized distribution is prohibited.