赞比亚-贫困与公平评估：10项关键发现

7.Not all rural areasexperiencedrising poverty[The incidence of poverty inRural areas in the urban provinces of Copperbelt and Lusakadeclined from 63.7% in 2010 to 57.9% in 2022.If helps to contrast: The incidence ofpoverty in other rural areasincreased from 77.3% to 80.8% over the same period.]… behind this was a larger asset accumulation that benefited the poor more strongly,combinedwith better connectivity and access to markets… for example,electricity access increased disproportionately among rural householdsnear-urban centers.8.Agriculture can offer apathout of poverty[Non-poorthat depend mainly on agricultural income earnabout3times more than thepoor that depend mainly on agricultural income][Among the non-poor, the increase in medium-scaleagricultural households increasedclosed to twice as much as the increase in non-agricultural households (8.5 versus 4.9–ratio 1.7). Among the poor, the increase in non-agricultural households wasslightlyhigher (6.4 versus 5.8)]Urban-9.There are notable differences betweenLusaka and the rest of urban areasWhen growth was positive…a.Individuals with low skills were 2.5 more likely to be lift out ofpoverty in Lusakarelative to the rest of urban areas/ growth trickled down to the poor in Lusaka butlittlein other urban areasThe profile of those who left poverty between 2010 and 2015In Lusaka: 67% unskilled[roughly …2/3 unskilled–1/3skilled]In the rest of urban areas: 27% unskilled[roughly …1/3 unskilled–2/3 skilled]When growth was negative …b.Therecentpoverty increase between 2015 and 2022 was twice as large outsideLusaka:In Lusaka: increase of4.1Outside Lusaka: increase of9.610.Thehigherincidence ofurban povertyobservedin 2022 is likely structural[Thepoverty increase is estimated to have twice as much at the peak of the crises.Increase between 2015 and 2020:approx.18. Decrease between 2020 and 2022 approx.11–maybe two arrows up and then one arrow down?]