AI智能总结
交通运输2025年06月02日推荐 (维持)证券分析师:吴一凡电话:021-20572539邮箱:wuyifan@hcyjs.com执业编号:S0360516090002证券分析师:吴晨玥邮箱:wuchenyue@hcyjs.com执业编号:S0360523070001证券分析师:梁婉怡邮箱:liangwanyi@hcyjs.com执业编号:S0360523080001证券分析师:霍鹏浩邮箱:huopenghao@hcyjs.com执业编号:S0360524030001证券分析师:卢浩敏邮箱:luhaomin@hcyjs.com执业编号:S0360524090001联系人:李清影邮箱:liqingying@hcyjs.com行业基本数据股票家数(只)122总市值(亿元)33,697.48流通市值(亿元)28,850.12相对指数表现%1M6M绝对表现5.4%-0.0%相对表现3.6%1.9%相关研究报告《华创交运|低空经济周报(第40期):西锐一季度交付同比翻倍超预期,工业无人机产业链标的2025-06-0124/0624/0824/1025/0125/032024-06-03~2025-05-30交通运输沪深300华创证券研究所 启 全梳理》-12%-2%8%19% 占比%0.023.413.6712M8.0%1.1%25/05 证监会审核华创证券投资咨询业务资格批文号:证监许可(2009)1210号目录一、聚焦无人车:九识E6发布,售价1.98w,无人物流车规模化降本阶段开启....4二、行业数据跟踪.............................................................................................................6(一)航空客运:5月30日至6月1日,民航旅客量同比+1.3%,国内全票价同比-4.6%...................................................................................................................................6(二)航空货运:浦东机场出境货运价格指数周环比+6.1%,同比-10.3%...............8(三)航运:SCFI环比+31%,VLCC运价环比-27%,BDI环比+5.8%....................8三、市场回顾:本周交运板块上涨1.1%,跑赢沪深300指数2.8pct......................13四、投资建议...................................................................................................................14(一)红利资产:重视产业逻辑...................................................................................141、公路:继续首推四川成渝(A+H).....................................................................142、港口:长久期价值或推升估值弹性.....................................................................143、铁路:长久期+改革红利,重视铁路行业投资机会...........................................15(二)我们继续强调积极看待航空股投资机会...........................................................15(三)我们建议重点关注快递:申通快递+顺丰控股.................................................15五、风险提示...................................................................................................................16 2 证监会审核华创证券投资咨询业务资格批文号:证监许可(2009)1210号图表目录图表1各家无人物流车对比.................................................................................................5图表2经济性测算.................................................................................................................6图表3民航国内市场供需.....................................................................................................7图表4民航国内客座率MA7................................................................................................7图表5民航跨境市场供需.....................................................................................................7图表6民航跨境客座率MA7................................................................................................7图表7民航国内全票价.........................................................................................................7图表8民航跨境全票价.........................................................................................................7图表9浦东机场出境航空货运价格指数.............................................................................8图表10香港机场出境航空货运价格指数...........................................................................8图表11航运子行业数据.......................................................................................................8图表12 CCFI指数一周表现.................................................................................................9图表13 SCFI指数表现..........................................................................................................9图表14 PDCI指数一周表现.................................................................................................9图表15 BDI指数表现...........................................................................................................9图表16原油轮日收益TCE指数($/day).........................................................................9图表17成品油轮日收益TCE指数($/day).....................................................................9图表18 VLCC分航线TCE($/day)................................................................................10图表19 VLCC月度TCE(万美元).................................................................................10图表20苏伊士油轮分航线TCE($/day)........................................................................11图表21阿芙拉油轮分航线TCE表现($/day)...............................................................11图表22成品油轮分船型TCE表现($/day)...................................................................12图表23 SCFI指数表现........................................................................................................12图表24美国零售商联合会月度进口箱量预测.................................................................13图表25美西内陆卡车滞留时间(周度).........................................................................13图表26 Clarksons堵港指数-美线与欧线...........................................................................13图表27 A股交运行业周涨跌幅(05.26-05.30)..............................................................14 3 证监会审核华创证券投资咨询业务资格批文号:证监许可(2009)1210号4一、聚焦无人车:九识E6发布,售价1.98w,无人物流车规模化降本阶段开启1、售价降至2w以下,九识E6的发布催化市场热情5月27日,九识正式发布全新E系列无人物流车平台及首款车型E6,正式售价19800元,单车售价降至2w以下,以超高性价比开启轻件散件智能配送新时代,同时创新推出行业颠覆性的FSD(完全智能驾驶)月度订阅服务,低至1800元/月,实现"随用随付"的灵活体验,大幅降低用户使用