2023-2027年欧盟太阳能市场展望

EU Market Outlook For Solar Power 2023 - 2027A message from Kadri Simson, European Commissioner for Energy.The solar sector has continued its strong growth in 2023 – and delivered 40% market growth, similar to the levelit reached in 2022. That’s great news. Europe needs reliable partners from the renewables world to succeed inour energy transition to net zero by 2050, while we strive to quickly electrify our energy system and becomeindependent from fossil fuel imports as soon as possible.The fast growth confirms our confidence in solar’s gigantic potential, which we manifested through our firstsolar strategy published last year. While we raised our solar targets dramatically through our strategy to320 GWAC(400 GWDC) by 2025, the forecast in this report show that this goals are spot on with market expectations.The report shows major growth in the solar rooftop segment, indicating that Europe’s citizens and businesseshave opted for low-cost solar to control their energy bills. Clean, affordable and secure energy for Europe’scitizens and businesses is at the core of the European Commission’s energy policy.That’s why we landed, in the last 12 months, several legislative initiatives that improve the regulatoryenvironment for solar. The Renewable Energy Directive, just to name one, was adopted some weeks ago. It setsan ambition for 42.5% renewable energy in 2030, and takes concrete actions to improve and shorten permittingprocesses, building on the Renewable Emergency Regulation from last year.We do see challenges for solar ahead as it reaches notable levels in Europe’s energy system but we are workingon solutions to take a leap in supporting grids and flexibility. The Electricity Market design, expected to landsoon in the trilogues, will already substantially improve the frameworks for reducing grid connection times andflexibility investments. The European Commission has already taken the next step with its EU Grids Action Plan,including raising the political engagement on this crucial topic for this year, as well as for the next Europeanenergy agenda.We congratulate the solar sector for being a reliable partner to deliver on the EU’s climate and energy securitygoal. With the right support for decision-makers, we are confident we can count on solar to continue its stronggrowth and become the main pillar in Europe’s energy system in the long run.KADRI SIMSONEuropean Commissionerfor Energy Project lead:Michael Schmela, SolarPower Europe.Project manager:Raffaele Rossi, SolarPower Europe.Market intelligence and internal co-authors:Michael Schmela, Raffaele Rossi, Christophe Lits, Jonathan Gorremans & Antonio Arruebo, SolarPower Europe.Policy contributions & internal co-authors:Dries Acke, Catarina Augusto, Jonathan Bonadio & Naomi Chevillard, SolarPower Europe.External co-authors:Alexander Rohlf, BSW-Solar (DE); José Donoso, UNEF (ES); Michelangelo Lafronza, ANIE Rinnovabili, Alessio Cipullo & Edoardo Sorti, ElettricitàFutura, Federico Brucciani, Italia Solare (IT); Paulina Wojciechowska, PSF, & Stanislaw M. Pietruszko, PV Poland (PL); Wijnand van Hooff, Nold Jaeger & MarintheBos, Holland Solar (NL); Salomé Durand, SER (FR); Lisa Grün, Bundesverband Photovoltaic Austria (AT); Wannes Demarcke, PV-Vlaanderen, Dr. Ir. Fawaz Al Bitar,EDORA (BE); Stelios Psomas, HELAPCO (EL); Ádám Szolnoki, MANAP (HU); Oskar Öhrman & Anna Werner, Svensk Solenergi (SE); Mariyana Yaneva, APSTE (BG);Irene Mihai, RPIA (RO); Jan Krčmář, Solární Asociace (CZ).External contributors:OIE (HR); European Energy, Green Power Denmark & DPVA (DK); LSEA (LT); ILR (LU); MEEREA (MT); APREN (PT); SAPI (SK); ZSFV (SI).Please cite as:SolarPower Europe (2023): EU Market Outlook for Solar Power 2023-2027.Date of publication: December 2023.ISBN:9789464669121.Contact:info@solarpowereurope.org.Thanks to our Sponsor Members:Design:Onehemisphere, Sweden. contact@onehemisphere.seCover image:APChanel/Shutterstock.comMethodology:SolarPower Europe’s five-year forecast consists of Low, Medium and High Scenarios. The Medium Scenario anticipates the most likelydevelopment given the current state of play of the market. The Low Scenario forecast is based on the assumption that policymakers halt solar support andother issues arise, including interest rate hikes and severe financial crisis situations. Conversely, the High Scenario forecasts the best optimal case in whichpolicy support, financial conditions and other factors are enhanced.Segmentation is based on the following system size: Residential (<10 kW); Commercial (<250 kW); Industrial (<1000 kW); Utility-scale (>1000 kW, ground-mounted). SolarPower Europe’s methodology includes only grid-connected systems. Installed capacity is always expressed in DC, unless otherwise stated.All figures are based on SolarPower Europe’s best knowledge at the time of publication.Disclaimer:This report has been prepared by SolarPower Europe. It is being furnished to the recipients for general information only. Nothing in it should beint