信息安全支出：未来会怎样？

Gartner Research Excerpt Emerging TechImpact Radar:2024 Tuong Nguyen, Danielle Casey11 January 2024 Emerging Tech Impact Radar: 2024 Published 11 January 2024 - ID G00791104 - 119 min read By Analyst(s): Tuong Nguyen, Danielle Casey Initiatives:Emerging Technologies and Trends Impact on Products and Services The most impactful technologies for 2024 fall under these fourthemes: the smart world, the productivity revolution, privacy andtransparency, and critical enablers. Product leaders can use thisresearch to guide their investment and strategic planning arounddisruptive technologies. Overview Key Findings The smart world is driven by the convergence of online and offline experiences andby adding contextual relevance, changing how users interact with people, places andthings around them.■ Generative AI is spearheading the productivity revolution: improving existingfeatures, adding new functionality and augmenting human potential to useunstructured data systems.■Increasing digitization of assets, information and experiences and the usage of AIare making privacy and transparency issues increasingly important by increasingopportunities for bad agents to mimic, disrupt and intercept our activities. They arealso intensifying concerns around negative consequences of AI tools andtechniques.■Rapid innovation in critical enabling technologies, like Web3, scalable vectordatabases and neuromorphic computing are creating new possibilities for ITsolutions.■ Recommendations Product leaders assessing the impact of emerging technologies and trends on productsand services must take the following steps: Enhance your competitive differentiation in the smart world by working within anecosystem of partners to deliver the types and combinations of interactions (such asAI avatars, multimodal UIs and spatial computing) that bring value based on yourspecific use cases and target markets.■ Prioritize the most prevalent and impactful generative AI use cases, such asconversational AI, content creation and simulation, because these already deliverreal value to users.■ Stimulate growth while mitigating risk and restrictive regulation by building usertrust via systems such as decentralized identity and behavioral analytics andapplying human-centered AI and responsible AI principles.■ Support your strategic product roadmap by identifying relevant emergingtechnologies and business values that they can enable and identifying relevantinnovation tech partners.■ Analysis Overview of the Emerging Tech Impact Radar The Emerging Tech Impact Radar highlights the technologies and trends that have themost potential to disrupt a broad cross-section of markets. In this document, we haveidentified 30 of the highest-impact emerging technologies and technology trends (seeFigure 1), organized around four key themes, which are critical for product leaders toevaluate as part of their competitive strategy. This radar summarizes (but is not limited to) the technologies and trends found in thisyear’s body of Impact Radar research and most closely aligned with (or most influentialto) the four themes: Smart world■Productivity revolution■Privacy and transparency■Critical enablers■ The Impact Radar Figure 1 shows the highest-impact emerging technologies and trends based on time toadoption. Product leaders should use the Radar Profile range to plan investment timing in therelated emerging technology or technology trend. Range represents Gartner’s estimate oftime to reach early majority (more than 16% target market adoption), not when productleaders should act on investment. Considering time to plan, develop and launch, a starterguide to product leader investment timing, based on product strategy, is: First movers should be acting now on items in the 6-to-8-years ring (or beyond). Fast followers should be acting now on ETTs in the 3-to-6-years ring.■ Gartner, Inc. | G00791104 Majority followers should be acting on ETTs in the Now and 1-to-3-years rings. Laggard followers can wait until the ETT has passed through to early, or even late,majority.■ The objective of this research is to guide product leaders on how emerging technologiesand trends are evolving and impacting areas of interest. Providers can leverage thisknowledge to determine which technologies or trends are most important to the successof their business and when it makes sense to advance their products and services byinvesting in them. Refer to the How to Use the Impact Radar section for more information. Emerging Technologies or Trend Profiles Table 1 lists emerging technologies in 2024 according to their time to adoption. Click on atechnology name in the table to jump to a profile of the technology. The technology profiles in Table 1 are alphabetized. For an explanation of Gartner’smethodology for assessing Impact Radar technologies, see Note 1. In addition to the technologies in Table 1, product leaders should track longer-range trends(in this case, metaverse in the Em