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CONTENTS1. Foreword2. Executive Summary3. Study Definitions and Objectives4. Challenges Facing the San Pedro Bay Ports and Shippers4.1 Critical role in the national and local economy4.2 Port growth plans4.3 Competitiveness versus other ports4.4 Shippers face increased challenges4.5 Limited land for new warehousing in the SCAG region4.6 Global ports are using rail shuttle-inland port services to create economic and service advantages5. Stakeholder-Defined Success Factors5.1 Who are the stakeholders?5.2 What must be true to succeed?5.3 What are the obstacles?6. Defining the Opportunity6.1 Trends in shipper choice for inland transportation6.2 What could a rail shuttle-inland port service look like?6.3 Inland intermodal projects in Southern California7. Sizing the Addressable Market7.1 Key importer categories7.2 Potential import market size7.3 Potential export market size8. Concept Feasibility and Operating Economics for Shippers8.1 Inland port potential locations8.2 Shipper operating cost comparison8.3 Main line rail capacity8.4 Illustrative societal cost/benefit impacts8.5 What else could move the needle?9. Conclusions10. GlossaryAppendicesAppendix A. Case studies of inland portsAppendix B. Description of scenariosAppendix C. Methodology 35911121315162226293031323536384042434546484952566364677071728391 1.FOREWORDThis study examines the service implications and economics of a short-haul rail shuttle serviceto an inland intermodal terminal (“inland port”) within 150 miles of the San Pedro Bay Ports(the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach). Various public and private entities have expressedinterest in the rail shuttle-inland port concept, as it could potentially support several keyobjectives for the ports, including increasing supply chain performance and capacity andcontributing to reduced road congestion and air pollution in the LA Basin.As the neutral operator of the LA/LB ports’ on-dock rail network,Pacific Harbor Line (PHL ) isaligned with the ports’ objectives. PHL neither controls nor has rights to serve any short haulroutes or markets outside of the ports and cannot speak for other carriers. It was proposedwith several stakeholders that PHL undertake a study utilizing independent experts to helpunderstand the potential for short-haul rail intermodal to inland terminals on a location-agnostic basis. To this end, PHL retained two consulting firms with expertise in intermodal,rail operations, and supply chain logistics to study this critical issue — Oliver Wyman, Inc.and Leachman and Associates LLC.Oliver Wyman, Inc.is a global leader in management consulting. With offices in morethan 70 cities across 30 countries, Oliver Wyman combines deep industry knowledgewith specialized expertise in strategy, operations, risk management, and organizationtransformation. The firm has more than 6,000 professionals around the world who work withclients to optimize their business, improve their operations and risk profile, and acceleratetheir organizational performance to seize the most attractive opportunities. Oliver Wyman hasthe premier and the only dedicated rail practice of any of the global strategy consultancies.Oliver Wyman team members are leading experts in rail, with extensive experience across allmajor freight and passenger markets. Learn more at: www.oliverwyman.com/our-expertise/industries/transportation/rail-and-public-transit.htmlPrincipal Oliver Wyman study authors are Adriene Bailey and Matthew Schabas. Ms. Bailey isa Partner and leads Oliver Wyman’s North American Rail Practice. She is a strategic advisorto rail operators, intermodal service providers, equipment manufacturers and lessors, aswell as to private equity firms that are active in the surface transportation/rail/intermodalsectors. Ms. Bailey has held senior positions at various transportation and logistics firms,including two Class I railroads. She has a BS in engineering from Princeton University andan MBA from the Wharton School of Business. Mr. Schabas, a Principal in the Transportationand Services Practice, consults across transportation modes. His focus is on businessplanning and optimizing network operations for carriers, and traffic demand forecasting forcarriers, manufacturers, and private equity investors. He holds a Masters in City Planning,with a focus on transportation systems and public policy, from the University of California-Berkeley. He is a co-author of four transportation policy researchpapers. Leachman and Associates LLC provides consulting and software for operationsmanagement and logistics analysis to corporations and governments. Principal studyauthor Dr. Rob Leachman is President and CEO and a professor of industrial engineeringand operations research at the University of California-Berkeley. Dr. Leachman’s work isthe basis for Chapter 7 (and as sourced elsewhere in the report). See his separate report,“Market Potential and Marketing Strategy for Short-Haul Intermodal Service in SouthernCalifornia,” for the Chapter 7