DHL全球连通性指数报告

CONNECTEDNESSREPORT 2024 An in-depth analysis of the state of globalization Steven A. Altman is a Senior Research Scholar at the New York University Stern Schoolof Business and an Adjunct Assistant Professor in NYU Stern’sDepartment of Management and Organizations. Professor Altmanis also Director of the DHL Initiative on Globalization at NYU Stern’sCenter for the Future of Management. His research focuses onglobalization and its implications for business strategy and publicpolicy. He holds a PhD from the University of Reading, an MBAfrom the Harvard Business School, an MPA from Harvard’s JohnF. Kennedy School of Government, and a BS in Economics from theWharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania. Caroline R. Bastian is a Research Scholar at the New York University Stern Schoolof Business. Ms. Bastian is based in the school’s DHL Initiativeon Globalization at its Center for the Future of Management.She coordinates the initiative’s work on data science, statistics,quantitative methods, and data visualization. Ms. Bastian holdsan MS in Applied Statistics for Social Science Research fromNew York University, a Master of International Affairs from ColumbiaUniversity, and a BA from Pacific University. DHL GLOBALCONNECTEDNESSREPORT 2024 Steven A. AltmanCaroline R. BastianNYU Stern School of BusinessCenter for the Future of ManagementDHL Initiative on Globalization 21. Introduction CONTENTS 1. INTRODUCTION 2. GLOBALIZATION SNAPSHOTAND COUNTRY RANKINGS12 3. ARE GLOBAL FLOWS STILLGROWING?32 Contents2Preface Tobias Meyer4Preface Steven A. Altman510 Key Takeaways6Executive Summary8Country Ranking Highlights10 Trade33 Reverse13 The Rise of Cross-BorderE-Commerce37 Recent Trends in HistoricalPerspective18The Globalization Debate in 202319 Capital38 Information41 The World’s Most GloballyConnected Countries20 International InformationFlows via News Media43 Increases and Decreases inCountries’ Global Connectedness23 Notes Section 192 People44 We Do Not Live in aHyperglobalized World48 Globalization and MajorWorld Regions27 Notes Section 394 Notes Section 293 4. IS GEOPOLITICAL RIVALRYFRACTURING THE GLOBALECONOMY? 5. IS GLOBALIZATION GIVINGWAY TO REGIONALIZATION? 7. METHODOLOGY ANDDATA SOURCES 81 65 49 Notes Section 7101 Superpower Shifts Do Not EqualGlobal Fragmentation50U.S. – China TiesDiminished,Not Decoupled52Russia’s Reorientation59No Broader Split of the WorldEconomy61Country Blocs and GeopoliticalDistance63Notes Section 497 No General Pattern Of RisingRegionalization SELECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY91 Trade Regionalization in 202369 COUNTRY PROFILES102 APPENDIX289 75 99Appendix A – Detailed DataSources and Definitions289 Notes Section 5 Appendix B – Pillar BreadthTrends295 6. CONCLUSION76 Notes Section 6100 DEAR READER, In these turbulent times, marked by severe conflicts, this newedition of the DHL Global Connectedness Report presentsa remarkable finding: Globalization reached a record highin 2022 and remained close to that level in 2023. Given thewidespread speculation about the “end” of globalization, thisresult might be unexpected for many. But it’s what the datareveal. The report is based on the meticulous analysis of datafrom 181 countries, providing a unique picture of how goods& services, people, capital, and information are actuallymoving around the world. How are such strong globalization numbers possibledespite the very real rise of geopolitical tensions, wars,and protectionism? Why do countless headlines claim thatglobalization itself is in crisis-mode when actual interactionsbetween countries continue to grow? How can thesecontradictions be explained? I see several reasons for this. and Europe and Russia decoupling, the world economy isnot breaking apart into rival geopolitical blocs. Many majoreconomies strive for independent and flexible positions,resisting the separation of rival blocs. The report also showsthat, contrary to many forecasts, globalization has not givenway to regionalization. We also see a continued advance incorporate globalization. First, we might be focusing too much on the largest countriesand economies. Many see the U.S. and China interacting less,Europe and Russia decoupling, and the UK leaving the EUas signs of “the end” of globalization. The rate of growth inglobal trade and connectedness might have slowed, but itstays on a high level. The DHL Global Connectedness Report2024 shows quite impressively that assuming globalizationhas ended is misguided. I invite you to dive into the details—it’s an insightful read. Last, but not least: Congratulations to Singapore forachieving the number one spot in our ranking of the world’smost globalized countries! The second reason is novelty bias. We naturally paymore attention to the latest news and apparent changethan to stability or status quo. So after decades of focuson globalization, talk of “deglobalization” attracts moreattention than evidence of continuing global flows. Th