百城二手住宅房价同比持续下跌,新房同比上涨 2025-01-02 宏观策略 央行开展了1577亿元7天期逆回购操作 25年初市场应有小幅下跌,这是买入的机会,且若超长债供给未达市场预期的话,那么超长端表现会更强。 宏观策略 泽连斯基:1日没有俄罗斯天然气过境乌克兰 美国新年出现了多起恐怖袭击,表明了美国本土的安全形势状况存在隐患,这或将加速非法移民的驱逐,美元高位震荡。 宏观策略 中指院:百城二手住宅房价同比持续下跌,新房同比上涨 2025年一月,随着年报季逐渐到来,自下而上的分化将为前段估值拉升的行情敲定最终结果。业绩不及预期的板块,特别是小微盘存在风险警示与回撤的双重压力。 农产品 扫描二维码,微信关注“东证繁微”小程序 CONAB:巴西2024/25年度大豆收割进度 马来12月棕榈油出口下降,巴西马托州开始收割大豆。 有色金属 基金空头势力续增COMEX铜净多仓继续下滑 考虑到短期宏观因素偏空影响,叠加基本面因素边际转弱,预计铜价将继续承压运行为主,短线操作建议偏空对待。 能源化工 API原油库存下降 元旦假期前油价震荡偏强,美国10月原油产量环比上升。 目录 1、金融要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................41.1、宏观策略(黄金)............................................................................................................................................................41.2、宏观策略(国债期货)....................................................................................................................................................41.3、宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))..................................................................................................................................51.4、宏观策略(美国股指期货)............................................................................................................................................51.5、宏观策略(股指期货)....................................................................................................................................................62、商品要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................62.1、黑色金属(铁矿石)........................................................................................................................................................62.2、农产品(豆粕)................................................................................................................................................................72.3、农产品(豆油/菜油/棕榈油).........................................................................................................................................72.4、农产品(棉花)................................................................................................................................................................72.5、黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)......................................................................................................................................82.6、农产品(玉米淀粉)........................................................................................................................................................92.7、农产品(玉米)................................................................................................................................................................92.8、有色金属(氧化铝)......................................................................................................................................................102.9、有色金属(铝)..............................................................................................................................................................102.10、有色金属(工业硅)....................................................................................................................................................102.11、有色金属(碳酸锂)....................................................................................................................................................112.12、有色金属(铜)............................................................................................................................................................112.13、有色金属(铅)............................................................................................................................................................122.14、有色金属(锌)............................................................................................................................................................132.15、有色金属(镍)............................................................................................................................................................132.16、能源化工(液化石油气)............................................................................................................................................142.17、能源化工(原油)........................................................................................................................................................142.18、能源化工(纯碱)........................................................................................................................................................152.19、能源化工(浮法玻璃)................................................................................................................................................15 2.20、能源化工(烧碱)........................................................................................................................................................152.21、能源化工(纸浆)......