2024-12-23 宏观策略 美国PCE物价指数低于预期 美国11月PCE物价指数不及预期,通胀压力短期比市场预计的要低,因此美元指数有所回落,市场风险偏好回升。 农产品 巴基斯坦新棉累计上市量持续处于近年低位(至12.18) 截至12月12日当周,美棉周度出口签约量环比上升27%,但装运量环比下降6%,处于近年来同期低位水平,中国采购低迷的状态还在持续。 有色金属 中国11月废铜进口量同比下降5.12% 短期宏观因素影响再度转中性,基本面边际变化对盘面及现货升贴水将形成支撑,铜价筑底回升可能性相对更大,但反弹空间短期预计受限,策略上建议关注逢低布局多单机会。 能源化工 扫描二维码,微信关注“东证繁微”小程序 美国石油钻井总数上升 上一周油价窄幅震荡略下跌,基本面暂无突出矛盾。 目录 1、金融要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................42、商品要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................42.1、黑色金属(动力煤)........................................................................................................................................................42.2、黑色金属(铁矿石)........................................................................................................................................................42.3、农产品(豆油/菜油/棕榈油).........................................................................................................................................52.4、黑色金属(焦煤/焦炭)...................................................................................................................................................52.5、农产品(棉花)................................................................................................................................................................62.6、农产品(白糖)................................................................................................................................................................72.7、农产品(豆粕)................................................................................................................................................................82.8、黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)......................................................................................................................................82.9、农产品(玉米淀粉)........................................................................................................................................................92.10、农产品(玉米)..............................................................................................................................................................92.11、有色金属(氧化铝)....................................................................................................................................................102.12、有色金属(铝)............................................................................................................................................................102.13、有色金属(铜)............................................................................................................................................................102.14、有色金属(碳酸锂)....................................................................................................................................................112.15、有色金属(工业硅)....................................................................................................................................................122.16、有色金属(铅)............................................................................................................................................................122.17、有色金属(锌)............................................................................................................................................................132.18、有色金属(镍)............................................................................................................................................................142.19、能源化工(碳排放)....................................................................................................................................................142.20、能源化工(原油)........................................................................................................................................................152.21、能源化工(尿素)........................................................................................................................................................152.22、能源化工(苯乙烯)....................................................................................................................................................162.23、能源化工(PX)............................................................................................................................................................162.24、能源化工(PTA)..........................................................................................................................................................17 2.25、能源化工(烧碱)........................................................................................................................................................172.26、能源化工(纸浆)...............................................................................................................