2024-11-13 外汇期货 美联储官员:只有通胀高于预期才可能导致12月暂停降息 美联储鹰派官员对于降息暂停设置一个较高门槛,这意味着12月大概率降息,短期美元指数继续上涨。 股指期货 河南省拟发行首批“置换存量隐性债务”再融资专项债券 由于财政等政策相对温和,企业EPS修复斜率将较为平缓,那么对于近期以资金炒作为代表的行情,难以形成匹配。同时外围市场美元走强,人民币汇率走弱也对市场形成压制。 国债期货 央行开展了1255亿元7天期逆回购操作 长债震荡略偏强,但当前利率点位偏低,不建议追多。期货仓位可逢高逐渐止盈,轻仓应对政府债增发。曲线走陡策略的胜率和赔率都不低,建议关注。 贵金属 扫描二维码,微信关注“东证繁微”小程序 黄金ETF持有量减少 金价延续跌势,特朗普交易有所降温,股市和加密货币回落,但黄金仍在遭遇资金获利了结带来的回调压力,市场对美联储的降息预期降温,美联储官员开始陆续发表讲话。 有色金属 几内亚海运费上涨 晋豫地区矿山开采仍受限,氧化铝现货资源依旧紧张。 能源化工 OPEC下调全球需求增长预期 油价下跌,强势美元和OPEC下调需求增长预期打压油价。 目录 1、金融要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................41.1、外汇期货(美元指数)....................................................................................................................................................41.2、股指期货(美股)............................................................................................................................................................41.3、股指期货(沪深300/中证500/中证1000)..................................................................................................................51.4、国债期货(5年期国债/10年期国债)..........................................................................................................................62、商品要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................62.1、贵金属(黄金)................................................................................................................................................................62.2、黑色金属(焦煤/焦炭)...................................................................................................................................................72.3、农产品(豆粕)................................................................................................................................................................72.4、农产品(豆油/菜油/棕榈油).........................................................................................................................................82.5、黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)......................................................................................................................................82.6、农产品(棉花)................................................................................................................................................................92.7、农产品(玉米淀粉)......................................................................................................................................................102.8、农产品(玉米)..............................................................................................................................................................102.9、黑色金属(铁矿石)......................................................................................................................................................112.10、有色金属(铜)............................................................................................................................................................112.11、有色金属(工业硅)....................................................................................................................................................122.12、有色金属(镍)............................................................................................................................................................122.13、有色金属(铅)............................................................................................................................................................132.14、有色金属(锌)............................................................................................................................................................142.15、有色金属(碳酸锂)....................................................................................................................................................142.16、有色金属(氧化铝)....................................................................................................................................................152.17、有色金属(铝)............................................................................................................................................................152.18、能源化工(原油)........................................................................................................................................................152.19、能源化工(烧碱)........................................................................................................................................................162.20、能源化工(纸浆)........................................................................................................................................................16 2.21、能源化工(PVC)..........................................................................................................................................................172.22、能源化工(LLDPE/P