:010-66568589:wuyanjing@chinastock.com.cn分析师登记编码:S0130519070001 Catalog 一、计算机行业历史牛市中进攻属性尤为显著.....................................................................................................3(一)计算机行业的产业发展规律及资本市场表现的高β属性.............................................................................3(二)千禧年后计算机行业历经四轮牛市,动因各异........................................................................................3二、过去十五年计算机当年涨幅靠前牛股巡礼...................................................................................................13三、投资建议...............................................................................................................................................15四、风险提示...............................................................................................................................................16 图1:2000年至今计算机行业指数涨幅统计....................................................................................................4图2:计算机行业上市公司数量变化(2001~2024).........................................................................................5图3:计算机板块整体归母净利润增速对比(2005~2007)...............................................................................5图4:计算机行业上市公司数量变化(2008~2010).........................................................................................7图5:计算机板块整体归母净利润增速对比(2008~2010)...............................................................................7图6:计算机行业上市公司数量变化(关注2013~2015)..................................................................................9图7:计算机板块整体归母净利润增速对比(2013~2015)..............................................................................10图8:计算机板块历年并购数统计................................................................................................................10图9:计算机行业上市公司数量变化(关注2018~2020)................................................................................11图10:计算机板块整体归母净利润增速对比(2018~2020)............................................................................12 表1:2005~2008牛市结束后计算机行业重点公司估值回落情况........................................................................6表2:2008.11~2010.11计算机行业涨幅居前个股动态PE对比..........................................................................8表3:2012.12~2015.6计算机行业涨幅居前个股动态PE对比..........................................................................10表4:2009-2023年计算机当年涨幅靠前牛股一览..........................................................................................13