商品期权市场策略日报

OptionMarketStrategyReport 投资咨询业务资格：京证监许可【2012】75号 要点： 作者：金融衍生品研究中心牛秋乐执业编号：F0268914(从业)Z0002616(投资咨询)联系方式：010-68578820/niuqiule@foundersc.com 【行情复盘】 商品期权各标的多数下跌。期权市场方面，商品期权成交量整体出现下降。目前聚丙烯期权、甲醇期权、乙二醇期权、尿素期权、铁矿石期权等认沽合约成交最为活跃,而苹果期权、橡胶期权、红枣期权、PX期权、碳酸锂期权等则在认购期权上交投更为积极。在持仓PCR方面,苯乙烯期权、铁矿石期权、聚丙烯期权、乙二醇期权、LPG期权等处于高位,菜籽粕期权、苹果期权、红枣期权、碳酸锂期权、玻璃期权等期权品种则处于相对低位 作者：金融衍生品研究中心冯世佃执业编号：F3049858(从业)Z0015710(投资咨询)联系方式：fengshidian@foundersc.com 【交易策略】 成文时间：2024年8月8日星期四 近期大宗商品市场波动剧烈，预计未来将延续。目前市场各标的多为空头趋势，此轮下跌过后，迎来新的做多机会，等待市场企稳信号。 空头趋势品种:白银、铝、豆二、合成橡胶、棉花、铜、玻璃、塑料、碳酸锂、豆粕、甲醇、菜油、短纤、聚丙烯、PX、螺纹、菜粕、纯碱、原油、工业硅、锰硅、白糖、PTA、PVC、豆油、锌。 空头趋势或反转:花生 高波动品种有：硅铁、工业硅、螺纹、棉花、玉米、锰硅、苹果、烧碱、铁矿石 目录 一、豆粕期权(M).............................................................................................................................................2二、白糖期权(SR).............................................................................................................................................6三、铜期权(CU)..............................................................................................................................................10四、玉米期权(C).............................................................................................................................................14五、棉花期权(CF)...........................................................................................................................................18六、橡胶期权(RU)..........................................................................................................................................22七、铁矿石期权(I)..........................................................................................................................................26八、PTA期权(TA)...........................................................................................................................................31九、甲醇期权(MA).........................................................................................................................................35十、黄金期权(AU)..........................................................................................................................................39十一、菜籽粕期权(RM).................................................................................................................................43十二、聚丙烯期权(PP)...................................................................................................................................47十三、塑料期权(L).........................................................................................................................................51十四、PVC期权(V).........................................................................................................................................55十五、铝期权(AL)...........................................................................................................................................59十六、锌期权(ZN)..........................................................................................................................................63十七、棕榈油期权(P).....................................................................................................................................67十八、原油期权(SC).......................................................................................................................................71十九、豆一期权(A)........................................................................................................................................75二十、豆二期权(B).........................................................................................................................................79二十一、豆油期权(Y).....................................................................................................................................83二十二、花生期权(PK)...................................................................................................................................87 二十三、菜油期权(OI)...................................................................................................................................91二十四、工业硅期权(SI)................................................................................................................................95二十五、白银期权(AG)..................................................................................................................................99二十六、螺纹期权(RB)................................................................................................................................103二十七、乙二醇期权(EG)............................................................................................................................107二十八、苯乙烯期权(EB).............................................................................................................................111二十九、碳酸锂期权(LC).............................................................................................................................115三十、合成橡胶期权(BR)............................................