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赛轮液体黄金轮胎再出新品[Table_Industry]合成氨、醋酸、制冷剂、纯碱等价格上扬 证券研究报告 行业研究 2024年5月12日 本期内容提要:[Table_Summary] ➢基础化工板块市场表现回顾:本周(5月3日-5月10日),上证指数上涨1.60%至3154.55点,深证成指上涨1.50%至9731.24点,基础化工板块上涨4.02%;申万一级行业中涨幅前三分别是农 林 牧 渔 (+5.70%) 、 国 防 军 工 (+4.67%) 、 建 筑 材 料(+4.53%)。基础化工子板块中,农化制品板块上涨5.29%,化学制品板块上涨4.79%,化学纤维板块上涨3.80%,化学原料板块上涨3.30%,塑料Ⅱ板块上涨1.50%,橡胶板块上涨0.96%,非金属材料Ⅱ板块下跌0.34%。 洪英东化工行业分析师执业编号:S1500520080002联系电话:+86010-83326848邮箱:hongyingdong@cindasc.com 尹柳化工行业研究助理联系电话:+86010-83326712邮箱:yinliu@cindasc.com ➢2024年前4个月我国原油、煤和天然气进口量增加。5月9日,海关总署公布数据显示,2024年前4个月,我国货物进口原油1.82亿吨,同比增加2%,进口均价每吨4256.2元,上涨5.6%;进口煤1.61亿吨,同比增加13.1%,进口均价每吨732.3元,下跌18.9%;进口天然气4300万吨,同比增加20.7%,进口均价每吨3532.3元,下跌15%。(来自中化新网、海关总署) ➢重点标的:赛轮轮胎、确成股份、通用股份。 ➢风险因素:宏观经济不景气导致需求下降的风险;行业周期下原材料成本上涨或产品价格下降的风险;经济扩张政策不及预期的风险 信达证券股份有限公司CINDASECURITIESCO.,LTD北京市西城区闹市口大街9号院1号楼邮编:100031 目录 本周市场行情回顾...............................................................................................................................4行业基础数据......................................................................................................................................5重点行业跟踪......................................................................................................................................8重点公司............................................................................................................................................20风险因素............................................................................................................................................21 表目录 表1:主要化工产品涨跌幅排名........................................................................................................7 图目录 图1:申万一级行业一周表现............................................................................................................4图2:申万基础化工二级子行业一周表现........................................................................................4图3:中国化工产品价格指数(CCPI)................................................................................................5图4:原油价格(美元/桶)...............................................................................................................5图5:中国天然气到岸价(美元/百万英热)...................................................................................6图6:动力煤价格(元/吨)...............................................................................................................6图7:轮胎原材料价格指数................................................................................................................8图8:我国半钢胎开工率(%).........................................................................................................9图9:我国全钢胎开工率(%).........................................................................................................9图10:中国出口集装箱运价指数(CCFI).....................................................................................9图11:波罗的海货运指数(FBX)..................................................................................................9图12:钾肥价格(元/吨)...............................................................................................................11图13:尿素价格(元/吨)...............................................................................................................11图14:磷矿石价格(元/吨)...........................................................................................................12图15:草甘膦及草铵膦价格(元/吨)...........................................................................................12图16:磷酸一铵价格(元/吨).......................................................................................................12图17:磷酸二铵价格(元/吨).......................................................................................................12图18:申万行业指数:农药...............................................................................................................13图19:甲醇价格(元/吨)...............................................................................................................14图20:聚乙烯价格(元/吨)...........................................................................................................15图21:聚丙烯价格(元/吨)...........................................................................................................15图22:安赛蜜价格(万元/吨).......................................................................................................15图23:三氯蔗糖价格(万元/吨)...................................................................................................15图24:维生素A价格(元/公斤)..................................................................................................16图25:维生素C、维生素E价格(元/公斤)...............................................................................16图26:制冷剂R22价格及毛利(元/吨).......................................................................................17图27:制冷剂R32价格及毛利(元/吨).......................................................................................17图28:制冷剂R134a价格及毛利(元/吨)...................................................................................17图29:制冷剂R410a价格及价差(元/吨).............