COVID-19移动洞察

Executive Summary 44%of respondents thinkthat their mobility willbe reduced thanks toworking remotely very different European cities, with avariety of transport options, the currentglobal pandemic has created a unity ofdisruption across them all. Arup surveyedresidents across the three urban locationsto determine sentiment – not only about our daily, unbreakable routines. As such,there was an inevitability of growth andcongestion. Who knew that our behaviourcould be modified so rapidly and to suchand foresee the impact of users’ behavioural changes on the mostsustainable modes: public transport, walking and cycling, andnew mobility solutions, and how authorities and operators havequickly reacted to this unprecedented situation. As extraordinaryproblems require extraordinary solutions, this situation haspushed forward the implementation of valuable initiatives place higher value on their current options and habits. However,when cities reopen and schools, crèches, restaurants, cafés andworkplaces pull people towards them, there will be significantchallenges to the new habits developed during lockdown.Increased traffic levels may cause stress for new cyclists andstretch the capacity of footpaths. The need to accompany orassist children on journeys will generate movement. Publictransport operators are already trying to increase the frequencyof public transport services to allow for less crowding. Willthose efforts reduce the strongly expressed reluctance to usean extent?With lockdowns implemented across the globe, people are aroundthe world. While some of them may quickly vanish withthe pandemic, others may remain and define our new normal. students are finding new ways of learning from home,companies are realising the cost savings and high productivity oftheir staff working remotely and the fear of infection is makingpeople rediscover the joy of living locally.This report provides insights into the opportunities that peopleand their representatives can collectively undertake to create anew set of habits – habits in behaviour and habits in decisionmaking. of infection will reduce public transport use and increase cardemand as respondents displayed a preference for physicaldistancing. This re-balancing of demand by mode poses asignificant challenge to transport planning, as all three citieshave limited spatial capacity to facilitate cycling and walkingwith safe spacing, while motorists are demanding more networkspace. the same time oversized to meet the demand during two shortperiods of time: the peaks. Similarly, we never thought ourroutines could be changed – could these new trends completelyreshape and optimise future urban mobility? Have these thepotential to flatten the (peak) demand curve and drive us towardsa more sustainable new normal? from home, or closer to home, without their physical and mentalhealth suffering? How can the transport resources and systemsthat have been built over decades be actively modified toincorporate the best aspects of changes to mobility and workingthat the survey hints are possible? With every threat to ourcommunity, there is anopportunity to be grasped. work behaviours are changing and what actions are happening inour transport systems allows us to identify how to achieve long-termbenefits for our society. reacquainted people to walking, cycling and the potential to workIt has also created a sense of apprehension and a wish to cocoon in a Our research identifies potential solutions to invest in retaining post-pandemic, options to be avoided and the behaviour changes that should be encouraged.If we could collectively reduce the cost of providing peak transport and carbon neutral solutions that better connect our people withopportunity, some good could come from disaster.Flattening the (peak demand) curve is an aspiration for transportauthorities globally. Here are some considerations to achieve that. S E C T I O N1Highlights from a survey in 3 EUCities Methodology M O B I L I T YD E M A N D S In order to understand potential changes in user behaviour official modal split of the city, demonstrates changes in mobilitydemand. Models generated show not only forecasts of changesin the preferred mobility mode, but also their distribution intime, focusing on daily and weekly forecasts. The ultimate aimwas to record insights to support the identification of scenarios post-pandemic, an online survey was distributed in three cities,Milan, Madrid and Dublin. The survey aimed to trace the effectsof COVID-19 on mobility trends and user behaviour, throughthe collection of data regarding modal split, commuting times,remote working, and how they expect these will change fromand related potential actions to be implemented. many have observed, a crisis is often also an opportunity toreflect and apply expertise in radical new ways. Globally, Arupis exploring what these changes to the ways we plan and designthe built environment might look like. Our research, which was car