商品期权市场策略日报

OptionMarketStrategyReport 投资咨询业务资格：京证监许可【2012】75号 要点： 作者：金融衍生品研究中心牛秋乐执业编号：F0268914(从业)Z0002616(投资咨询)联系方式：010-68578820/niuqiule@foundersc.com 短线期权各标的波动加大，市场风险偏好下降。从中长期来看，随着国内经济回暖，国内品种方面，预计未来大概率也是以震荡抬升为主。海外宏观方面，1月美联储议息会议落地，美联储按兵不动维持利率不变。鲍威尔称三月份不太可能降息。全球风险偏好下降。与海外关联度较高的品种，单边期货持仓的投资者建议利用期权保险或备兑策略做好风险管理。 作者：金融衍生品研究中心冯世佃执业编号：F3049858(从业)Z0015710(投资咨询)联系方式：fengshidian@foundersc.com 成文时间：2024年2月7日星期三 多头趋势品种：合成橡胶、苯乙烯 空头趋势品种:豆二、碳酸锂、菜油、花生、螺纹、橡胶、硅铁、锰硅、豆油、锌空头趋势或发生反转品种:工业硅、PVC 今日日内高波动品种有：甲醇、工业硅、合成橡胶、聚丙烯、菜油、塑料、菜粕、尿素、豆二、烧碱 近期日间高波动品种有：聚丙烯、乙二醇、塑料、合成橡胶、苯乙烯 目录 一、豆粕期权(M).............................................................................................................................................2二、白糖期权(SR).............................................................................................................................................6三、铜期权(CU)..............................................................................................................................................10四、玉米期权(C).............................................................................................................................................14五、棉花期权(CF)...........................................................................................................................................18六、橡胶期权(RU)..........................................................................................................................................22七、铁矿石期权(I)..........................................................................................................................................26八、PTA期权(TA)...........................................................................................................................................30九、甲醇期权(MA).........................................................................................................................................34十、黄金期权(AU)..........................................................................................................................................38十一、菜籽粕期权(RM).................................................................................................................................42十二、LPG期权(PG).......................................................................................................................................46十三、聚丙烯期权(PP)...................................................................................................................................50十四、塑料期权(L).........................................................................................................................................54十五、PVC期权(V).........................................................................................................................................58十六、铝期权(AL)...........................................................................................................................................62十七、锌期权(ZN)..........................................................................................................................................66十八、棕榈油期权(P).....................................................................................................................................70十九、原油期权(SC).......................................................................................................................................74二十、豆一期权(A)........................................................................................................................................78二十一、豆二期权(B).....................................................................................................................................82二十二、豆油期权(Y).....................................................................................................................................86 二十三、花生期权(PK)...................................................................................................................................90二十四、菜油期权(OI)...................................................................................................................................94二十五、工业硅期权(SI)................................................................................................................................98二十六、白银期权(AG)................................................................................................................................102二十七、螺纹期权(RB)................................................................................................................................106二十八、乙二醇期权(EG)............................................................................................................................110二十九、苯乙烯期权(EB).............................................................................................................................114三十、碳酸锂期权(LC).................................................................................................................................118三十一、合成橡胶期权(BR