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This report examines regulated gas utilities in eight Western European countries: the UK, Ireland, Germany, the Netherlands, Italy, France, Spain, and Portugal. S&P Global Ratings rates 15 transmission and distribution system operators in the region. The report forecasts that demand for residential and industrial gas will experience a limited and gradual decline through 2030, but will remain key to balancing energy markets. Government decarbonization efforts will focus on reducing gas-to-power, but supportive regulatory frameworks will underpin healthy and predictable cash flows for network operators in the next three to five years. However, a sharper drop in demand is expected from 2030, which will heighten business risk and make leverage reduction increasingly important for maintaining creditworthiness. As regulatory periods end, operators could face higher regulatory reset risk, depending on the pace of the energy transition.
