2022-2041年世界航空货运预测报告

World Air CargoForecast2022-2041 Table ofContentsForeword2Latin America and Europe62ExecutiveSummary3Latin America and North America69Air Cargo Industry Overview4Middle East76Regional ForecastsNorth America82Africa19Russia and Central Asia90Domestic China29South Asia95East Asia and North AmericaFreighterFleetForecast101Europe and East Asia40Forecast Methodology109Europe and North America46Glossary111Intra-East Asia and Oceania51Appendix112Intra-Europe2SWortis.Air Cago Forecast 2022-2041 ForewordBoeing's World Air Cargo Forecas!We couldin't have done this withoutThe next WACF updsle wil acpear in(WACF) is a biennial addendum to theCommercial Market Outiook, focuseddecades of expertise in marketaur skolled oonributars, who offorfourth-quarter 2024. We weicome anyquestions or ccomments. Plesse reachon a comprehensive and long-termview of the air cargo market. Thecargo traffic analysis:analysis, trend forecasting, and sirout to us al:forecast offers in-depth analysis ofP.O. Bax 3707, MC 21-33Boeing Commercial Airplarnesthe global sir trade markets, inclucingAnime Benkiranetrends, regional market developmentsCristina Ceverowww.boeing.corm/wacfSeattle, WA 98124-22C7 USAand the worid's freighter 1leet growth.Andrew ChuangThe tumultuous effects of thepoowBujo usorTom Crabtreethomas.Lhoang@boaing.comTorn Hoangpandeic in the last two years haveKimberly Eagleupended expectations and causodchallenges for long-term plsnning ancGregg GildemannSharon FelixGregg Gildemannanalysis. However, the overall avialtionTom Hoanggregg.gildemaonieboeing.comsnd aorospace industrics ramainCavin Jinjoshua.colingwood@booing.comJosh Colingwoodresilient, and thet extends to the airJaydien Leecargo erket.Christa RothBupBug euueeCur uMPOOur intention for this forecast is toWency Sowerscalvin.t,jinBboeing.comand the industry at large wth valuablearm our customers, aur stakeholders.Bunou, ujormoinformetion that helos them make thecargo and global trade. We hope thebest decisions for the future of air2022 WACF rmeets thet vital need.World Air Cargo Forecast 20222041 ExecutiveSummary50%1,600(-70% of Global Trafic)Top Air Cargo Traffle Flows Ferecastlong-term share ofglobal freighter fleetair cargo traificgrowth by 2041East AgiaN, Americacarried by freighters4.3%Esst AsiaEurope8%950Intre-East Asiafreighter share ofproduction freighterthe commercialdeliveries by 2041 North Americaairplane fieetEurepeNL America4.1%1,825Domestic China5.8%annual air cargofreighter conversion406080[100[120140traffic growthdeliveries by 2041 2021Revenue Tonne Kilometers (Bilions)through 2041 20222041World Air Cargo Forecast 20222041 Air CargoOverviewaleLBR|CR For intercontinental treight, shippersA Unique Value Propositioncargo, By weight, 86% of the worid'sAir cargo is one pert cf global goodsmaritime. Maritime transport offers theusually have only two choices: sir andand other bulk iterms. Most af thesemeritime trade is in raw materialsdistribution networks. Across allmodos, shippers seok shipmentsprimary benefit, low ccst; sir transportcommodiies, such aB ol, metal ores,rrive at their destinaltion on time,oflers the benefits of speed sndroliability.and grains, are low in value, not timeundanaged and al a reasonable porice,sensitive, and shipped in specializedrogardiass of trantport mode.vessels, These cargoes cannot beDfferent transport modasroad, ral,Maritime for Tonnage,dry commodios assciatod with airdirectly compered to the high-value,maritime and sircan often moveAir Cargo for Valuethe same commodities. In dormesicMeasured in tonnes of goods moved,transport, However, while sir cargothe meritime transport industry is muchaccounts for less than 1% of theand intra-regional marksts, groundtransport typiclly dominates, However,larger than the air cargo industry. Inthese goods means it is responsible forworld's trade tonnage, the high value ofExpress and distribution networks as2021, the world maritime industrywoill as supply chain planners often seecarried an estimened 11.1 bilion tonnes,shipped goods.about 35% of the value of all globallysir as part of the network.compared to 60.9 miion tonnes of airWorld Trade Focuses on Bulk CommoditiesDry BulkIron and ores of other matals, coal,41%grairs, cementLiquid Bulkgaa, liqusfied nstural gas, cther liquidsCruce oil, petrproducts, liguefied petroleumContainership CommeditiesConsumer geoodk, machiney, tstiesruits, vegetable:Woed products, perishables, automobilesGeneral Carpopuip Aqr2edsAir Commodiles41%alectroniosSourax SIP-Siatai GTXWorld Air Cargo Forecast 20222041 Modal CompetitionContainership dynamics influenceContainerships IncreaseMaritimeMarketSharecompotition. Cantainerized cargo issir cargo markets cue to modalthe mrtime sector that most closelycorresponds to air cargo. While thebuk, containerships carry some of themajority of maritime cargo is low-valuesame commodities as air cargo does,goods that do nct require high speedwhiie cffering a low-cost altermative forard peak refebiltyBefore the COVID-19 panderric, a