基本金属日报

LME金属价格表1：LME价格 - 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡、镍金属收盘价日涨跌升贴水升贴水变化铜7654.00.41%76.08.0数据来源：金瑞期货研究所铝2248.50.33%-10.5 -4.3 铅1904.0-0.26%-1.0 0.3锌3128.00.26%27.0-10.0 锡20855.0-1.60%157.517.5镍21600.00.09%-58.0 -16.0 数据来源：Wind，金瑞期货研究所表2：国内期货价格 - 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡、镍金属收盘价日涨跌成交量持仓量铜616302.61%123553161288铝185051.40%205222162476铅150601.38%5656955188锌243302.42%151698117254锡1797502.84%13172636497镍1748005.64%16819157977数据来源：wind，金瑞期货研究所，注：标的为主力合约基本金属日报2022年9月8日金瑞观点评级：★★金瑞期货研究所请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分1金瑞网站：www.jrqh.com.cn客服热线：400-888-8208联系人：罗平电话：0755-83679730邮箱：luoping@jrqh.com.cn从业资格号：F3001801金瑞期货有色组李 丽 曾童钟明真 罗平周维刚 龚鸣吴梓杰铜：LME铜跌0.57%,报7622.5美元/吨。上海升水400，广东升水545。上海地区进口报关有改善，升水小幅回落。广东库存再度连续去库，升水上涨。近期国内意外降准、宏观边际缓和，且现货仍保持紧张格局的背景下，价格小幅反弹。当前节点低库存有一定支撑，当前反弹可能持续，但反弹高度预计有限，观察7800美金（沪铜62000）附近的阻力情况。且临近宏观流动性收紧节点，宏观现货存共振的风险，下行压力加大。策略：短期采购建议随用随采，远期订单采购暂不建议。风险：海外政策节奏、海外通胀数、国内疫情、国内政策与预期不符。锌：昨日油价大幅下挫，引得基本金属录的下跌。伦锌日间继续走低，一度触及3092美元，最终收报3120美元，跌幅1.93%。现货市场，现货升水大幅下调，上海市场对10合约升水720-760元/吨；广东市场，现货对10合约升水415-445元/吨，市场上持货商出货情绪较好，市场交投相对活跃，然而可流通现货有限，升水仍有支撑。锌价下方支撑较为薄弱，24000支持已经破，下方支撑较为脆弱。投资策略：观望。风险提示：/45006500850010500125002022-04-012022-07-01LME铜1400340054002022/4/12022/7/1LME 锌140021400414002022-04-012022-07-01LME 镍 页码一、金瑞观点1金瑞观点1铜锌镍价格走势1表1：LME价格 - 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡、镍1表2：国内期货价格 - 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡、镍11二、铜、铝、铅、锌21、国外市场数据3表3：LME期货持仓3表4：LME期货持仓分布3表5：CFTC持仓分析 -- COMEX 铜3表6：国内现货铜升贴水3表7：LME库存日统计 - 铜4表8：LME库存日统计 - 铝4表9：LME库存日统计 - 铅5表10：LME库存日统计 - 锌6表11：LME库存日统计 - 锡6表12：LME库存日统计 - 镍72. 国内期货市场数据8表11：上海期货交易所库存8表12：上期所主力合约机构持仓排名83. 国内现货市场数据9表13：现货价格9表14：相关产品报价9表15：内外比价及进口盈亏9三、指标说明10四、免责声明11请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分2基本金属日报2022年9月8日目录 表3：LME期货持仓品种持仓量日变化铜2420230.56%铝563901-1.67%铅889500.89%锌191328-0.66%锡119850.15%镍1496340.58%数据来源：彭博，金瑞期货研究所表5：CFTC持仓分析 -- COMEX 铜多头空头套期多头空头多头空头多头空头8月30日46105693601700682023570381451341434041325614986数据来源：CFTC网站，金瑞期货研究所表6：国内现货铜升贴水长江有色升贴水上海有色升贴水上海物贸升贴水最小最大最小最大最低最高最低最高最低最高平均价2022/9/65405803804409310590110951154502022/9/55105503804209510890110951153402022/9/24805203403909510890110951153252022/9/14705103203609210690110951152902022/8/3142046024032090104100120110130330注：数据来源为wind，上海保税库为外高桥市场数据 -- 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡、镍请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分3非报告持仓基本金属日报1. 国外市场数据 -- 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡、镍非商业商业总计洋山铜溢价上海电解铜CIF(提单）溢价上海保税库溢价2022年9月8日日期报告持仓 表7：LME库存日统计 - 铜地区地点期始库存入库出库期末库存库存变化注册仓单注销仓单新注销注销占比迪拜#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!仁川#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!光阳#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!釜山#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!柔佛#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!巴生港#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!新加坡#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!台湾#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!亚洲共计0000000#VALUE!0安特卫普#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!汉堡#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!巴塞罗那#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!毕尔巴鄂#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!赫尔#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!利物浦#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!来亨#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!的里雅斯特#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Request