策略鑫复盘

 AV0.11%0.3%0.23%440250.4%3028004-5今日复盘 图表：部分市场利率及汇率情况0.000%1.000%2.000%3.000%4.000%5.000%6.000%SHIBOR:隔夜FR007 -50.00-30.00-10.0010.0030.0050.0070.0090.00-80.00%-60.00%-40.00%-20.00%0.00%20.00%40.00%60.00%80.00%日均耗煤量:6大发电集团合计（万吨）同比增减-50.000.0050.00100.00150.00200.00250.00300.00-2.00%0.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%粗钢日均产量(万吨）同比增减图表：六大发电集团日均耗煤量图表：重点钢企粗钢日均产量（旬度更新）欧元区8月制造业PMI初值为47，预期为46.2，前值为46.5；服务业PMI为53.4，预期为53，前值为53.2；综合PMI为51.8，预期为51.2，前值为51.5。日本8月制造业PMI初值49.5，前值49.4；服务业PMI初值53.4，前值51.8；综合PMI初值51.7，前值51.2。资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研发部 0.00%5.00%10.00%15.00%20.00%25.00%30.00%M1同比增速M2同比增速6.00%7.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%12.00%13.00%14.00%15.00%16.00%社会融资规模存量增速各项贷款余额增速图表：新增信贷情况-10000-5000050001000015000-10000-5000050001000015000货币净投放货币投放货币回笼图表：公开市场投放周度数据（亿元）图表：货币供应量情况资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研发部 1601651701751801851901952002055007009001100130015001700190021002300南华综合指数BDI指数RJ/CRB指数（右轴）46,340.0-0.54%1,401.0-0.32%9,033.0-0.66%14,315.0-0.31%60.30.45%3,744.0-1.11%17,075.01.55%55.7-1.17%4,084.00.00%18,685.0-0.03%32.01.62%713.5-2.06%123,030.0-0.95%2,918.01.35%7,300.0-1.82%131,110.00.05%6,060.00.70%6,820.0-0.58%4,180.01.11%4,400.00.64%10,365.0-1.43%346.30.39%12,220.0-1.05%2,039.0-2.21%2,044.5-0.68%5,531.00.25%3,418.01.24%2019-08-151,456.2-0.09%2,047.04.97%170.0-0.36%2019-08-161,453.6-0.18%2,088.02.00%170.40.22%2019-08-191,457.60.27%2,067.0-1.01%170.80.22%2019-08-201,453.7-0.26%2,059.0-0.39%170.90.08%2019-08-211,444.7-0.62%2,061.00.10%171.00.05%2019-08-163,690.40.56%-20.12,807.40.50%-16.84,682.80.72%-39.9100.4-0.05%100.0-0.12%98.8-0.15%2019-08-193,777.22.35%-13.92,860.21.88%-17.04,841.43.39%-33.6100.3-0.10%100.10.08%98.90.08%2019-08-203,775.2-0.05%-12.52,862.40.08%-13.34,835.8-0.12%-36.8100.30.01%100.0-0.01%98.9-0.02%2019-08-213,774.8-0.01%-7.02,861.2-0.04%-8.04,836.60.02%-46.1100.2-0.03%99.9-0.13%98.7-0.22%2019-08-223,777.60.07%-15.92,862.80.06%-15.24,840.00.07%-47.9100.30.02%99.90.03%98.70.05%华鑫证券研究发展部策略团队 股票的投资评级说明： 投资建议 预期个股相对沪深300指数涨幅 1 推荐 >15% 2 审慎推荐 5%---15% 3 中性 (-)5%--- (+)5% 4 减持 (-)15%---(-)5% 5 回避 <(-)15% 以报告日后的6个月内，证券相对于沪深300指数的涨跌幅为标准。 行业的投资评级说明： 投资建议 预期行业相对沪深300指数涨幅 1 增持 明显强于沪深300指数 2 中性 基本与沪深300指数持平 3 减持 明显弱于沪深300指数 以报告日后的6个月内，行业相对于沪深300指数的涨跌幅为标准。 7 8