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在家工作和生育(英)

文化传媒 2026-03-01 亚开行 欧阳晓辉
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Cevat Giray Aksoy, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Katelyn Cranney, Steven J. Davis,Mathias Dolls, and Pablo Zarate ADB ECONOMICSWORKING PAPER SERIES Work from Home and Fertility Cevat Giray Aksoy, Jose Maria Barrero,Nicholas Bloom, Katelyn Cranney,Steven J. Davis, Mathias Dolls, and Pablo Zarate Cevat Giray Aksoy (cevat.aksoy@kcl.ac.uk) is anassociate director of research, lead research economistat the European Bank for Reconstruction andDevelopment and an associate professor at King’sCollege London. Jose Maria Barrero (jose.barrero@itam.mx) is an associate professor atInstituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México. NicholasBloom (nbloom@stanford.edu) is a professor, KatelynCranney (katelyncranney@gmail.com) is a PhD student,and Steven J. Davis (steven5@stanford.edu) is a seniorfellow and director of research at the Hoover Institutionand senior fellow at the Stanford Institute for EconomicPolicy Research. Mathias Dolls (dolls@ifo.de)is a senior economist and deputy director at the ifoInstitute. Pablo Zarate (pzarate@princeton.edu)is a PhD student at Princeton University. No. 839 | March 2026 TheADB Economics Working Paper Seriespresents research in progress to elicit commentsand encourage debate on development issuesin Asia and the Pacific. The views expressedare those of the authors and do not necessarilyreflect the views and policies of ADB orits Board of Governors or the governmentsthey represent. Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 IGO license (CC BY 3.0 IGO) © 2026 Asian Development Bank6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City, 1550 Metro Manila, PhilippinesTel +63 2 8632 4444; Fax +63 2 8636 2444www.adb.org Some rights reserved. Published in 2026. ISSN 2313-6537 (print), 2313-6545 (PDF)Publication Stock No. WPS260076-2DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.22617/WPS260076-2 The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views and policiesof the Asian Development Bank (ADB) or its Board of Governors or the governments they represent. ADB does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this publication and accepts no responsibility for anyconsequence of their use. The mention of specific companies or products of manufacturers does not imply that theyare endorsed or recommended by ADB in preference to others of a similar nature that are not mentioned. By making any designation of or reference to a particular territory or geographic area in this document, ADB does notintend to make any judgments as to the legal or other status of any territory or area. This publication is available under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 IGO license (CC BY 3.0 IGO)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/. By using the content of this publication, you agree to be boundby the terms of this license. For attribution, translations, adaptations, and permissions, please read the provisionsand terms of use at https://www.adb.org/terms-use#openaccess. This CC license does not apply to non-ADB copyright materials in this publication. If the material is attributedto another source, please contact the copyright owner or publisher of that source for permission to reproduce it.ADB cannot be held liable for any claims that arise as a result of your use of the material. Please contact pubsmarketing@adb.org if you have questions or comments with respect to content, or if you wishto obtain copyright permission for your intended use that does not fall within these terms, or for permission to usethe ADB logo. Corrigenda to ADB publications may be found at http://www.adb.org/publications/corrigenda. ABSTRACT We establish a positive relationship between work from home (WFH) and fertility, drawing onour Global Survey of Working Arrangements (38 economies, N = 19,241) and our US Survey ofWorking Arrangements and Attitudes (N = 102,411). Respondents who WFH at least 1 day perweek had more biological children from 2021 to early 2025, and plan to have more children in thefuture, compared to observationally similar persons who do not WFH. Respondents whosespouse or domestic partner works from home also report higher recent and planned fertility. Whenboth partners WFH at least 1 day per week, our results suggest that total lifetime fertility is greaterby 0.2 children in our global sample (0.18 in our United States sample), as compared to coupleswhere neither partner engages in any WFH. We find qualitatively similar patterns in our Asiansubsample (N = 4,323), but some results are statistically insignificant for Asian women. Keywords:remote work, fertility and fertility intentions, global survey, working arrangements, AsiaJEL codes:J13, J22, D13, C83 1.INTRODUCTION Fertility rates have fallen around the world in recent decades, often to levels far below thereplacement rate. Economists attribute this development to shifting priorities and norms and tothe rising costs of motherhood and childcare (Blau and Robins, 1988; Kearney et al., 2022; Bloomet al., 2024; Bailey, 2025; Kleven, 2025;