“我们处境艰难”：马蒂斯对伊朗作出严厉评估

Ben Geman,Chuck McCutcheon查克·⻨卡切恩Add Axios on Google在Google上添加Axios Mattis in 2024. Photo: Chance Yeh/Getty Images for The HeadstrongProject2024年的⻢蒂斯。照⽚：Chance Yeh/Getty Images，为The Mattis offered a sobering take Monday on theStrait of Hormuz, criticizing the Trumpadministration for what he saw as a failure to 休斯顿——前国防部⻓詹姆斯·⻢蒂斯周⼀对霍尔⽊兹海峡发表了令⼈警醒的看法，他批评特朗普政府在对伊朗的战略思考上 Why it matters:The CERAWeek conferencehere has been clouded by uncertainty over the "would now say we own the Strait," said Mattis,who served in the president's first termbeforeresigningin 2019 after the commander-in-chiefreportedly rebuffed his advice on Syria. 新闻驱动：⻢蒂斯表示，如果特朗普总统宣布胜利并撤回美军，伊朗“现在会说我们拥有海峡”，⻢蒂斯在总统第⼀任期内任 "I think that you could see a tax for any shipgoing through — something completelyunsustainable in the international market,"Mattis said.“我认为你可能会看到对任何通过的船只征收税——这是国际市场完全⽆法承受的，”⻢蒂斯说。The overall U.S. and Israeli strategic 他表示，美国和以⾊列针对伊朗的整体战略⽬标仍然“模糊不清”。"The Americans are fighting in a markedlylimited war, and I think that what we'reseeing is a situation where [airplane]targetry never makes up for a lack ofstrategy," he said. ⽆法弥补战略的缺失，”他说。Threat level:Mattis also explained why navalprotection of ships would prove a hugechallenge and leave major vulnerabilities.威胁等级：⻢蒂斯还解释了为什么为舰船提供海上防护将成为⼀项巨⼤的挑战并留下重⼤脆弱点。Even a degraded Iran retains the ability toattack ships from shore along a vast stretch of coastline in the wider region, he said.他表示，即使伊朗被削弱，仍然能够沿该更⼴泛地区的漫⻓海岸线从岸上攻击舰船。"If you look at the Texas Gulf Coast, that'sabout 367 miles, that gives you an idea ofhow difficult this will be for the U.S. Navyto try and protect ships in that shipping water," Mattis said.“如果你看得克萨斯湾海岸，⼤约有367英⾥，这能让你理解美国海军在那条航道上试图保护船只会有多困难，向下穿过海湾600英⾥，通过海峡100英⾥然后进⼊外海，”⻢蒂斯说。"And they've got anti-ship cruise missiles truck that can go 100 miles. So there's theproblem."“他们还有能从⽪卡⻋后部发射、射程可达100英⾥的反舰巡航导弹。所以这就是问题所在。”